Math Problem Statement
You wish to determine if there is a linear correlation between the two variables at a significance level of α=0.10α=0.10. You have the following data set.
xy
39.2
104.5
45.2
18.1
41.6
-36
38.5
-4.8
2.5
270.2
19.5
177.9
53.8
-6.3
56.9
-71.1
59.2
-50.1
61.1
23
(a) What is the correlation coefficient for this data set? r =
(b) To find the p-value for a correlation coefficient, use the theory-based approach in the Rossman Chance applet to find the p-value for this correlation coefficient. p-value = Round to 4 places if needed.
(c) Use the p-value to now write a complete sentence that makes a conclusion about the correlation between x and y in the population. Your sentence should either start with "It is plausible that..." or "We have statistically significant evidence that..."
Solution
Let's tackle this step by step.
(a) Correlation Coefficient
The formula for the Pearson correlation coefficient is:
First, I'll calculate , , and all necessary terms for the dataset to determine . numpy as np
Data
x = np.array([39.2, 45.2, 41.6, 38.5, 2.5, 19.5, 53.8, 56.9, 59.2, 61.1]) y = np.array([104.5, 18.1, -36, -4.8, 270.2, 177.9, -6.3, -71.1, -50.1, 23])
Means of x and y
mean_x = np.mean(x) mean_y = np.mean(y)
Calculating the terms for r
numerator = np.sum((x - mean_x) * (y - mean_y)) denominator = np.sqrt(np.sum((x - mean_x)**2) * np.sum((y - mean_y)**2))
Correlation coefficient
r = numerator / denominator r**(a)** The correlation coefficient () for the data set is approximately:
(b) P-value for the correlation coefficient
To calculate the p-value, we use a t-distribution with degrees of freedom ():
Here, . I'll calculate and determine the p-value. scipy.stats import t
Sample size and degrees of freedom
n = len(x) df = n - 2
Calculating t statistic
t_stat = r * np.sqrt((n - 2) / (1 - r**2))
Calculating two-tailed p-value
p_value = 2 * t.sf(np.abs(t_stat), df) t_stat, p_value**(b)** The t-statistic is approximately:
The p-value for this correlation coefficient is:
(c) Conclusion about the correlation
Since the p-value is much smaller than the significance level , we reject the null hypothesis.
Conclusion: We have statistically significant evidence that there is a strong negative linear correlation between and in the population.
Do you want a detailed breakdown of these calculations? Here are some questions to consider next:
- How does the significance level () affect the conclusion?
- Can we graph the data to visualize the correlation?
- What does a negative correlation coefficient mean in practical terms?
- How would the conclusion change with a higher p-value?
- Is there a way to calculate using software or a calculator for verification?
Tip: Always verify statistical conclusions by checking the assumptions of the test (e.g., linearity, independence).
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Correlation
Linear Relationship
Hypothesis Testing
Significance Testing
Formulas
Pearson Correlation Coefficient: r = Σ((x_i - x̄)(y_i - ȳ)) / √(Σ(x_i - x̄)^2 * Σ(y_i - ȳ)^2)
t-statistic for correlation: t = r * √((n - 2) / (1 - r^2))
Theorems
Hypothesis Testing for Correlation Coefficients
t-Distribution for Small Samples
Suitable Grade Level
Undergraduate Level
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