Math Problem Statement

You wish to determine if there is a linear correlation between the two variables at a significance level of α=0.10α=0.10. You have the following data set.

xy

39.2

104.5

45.2

18.1

41.6

-36

38.5

-4.8

2.5

270.2

19.5

177.9

53.8

-6.3

56.9

-71.1

59.2

-50.1

61.1

23

(a)  What is the correlation coefficient for this data set?          r = 

(b)  To find the p-value for a correlation coefficient,  use the theory-based approach in the Rossman Chance applet to find the p-value for this correlation coefficient.        p-value =    Round to 4 places if needed.

(c)  Use the p-value to now write a complete sentence that makes a conclusion about the correlation between x and y in the population. Your sentence should either start with "It is plausible that..." or "We have statistically significant evidence that..."        

Solution

Let's tackle this step by step.


(a) Correlation Coefficient

The formula for the Pearson correlation coefficient rr is:

r=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2(yiyˉ)2r = \frac{\sum \left( x_i - \bar{x} \right) \left( y_i - \bar{y} \right)}{\sqrt{\sum \left( x_i - \bar{x} \right)^2 \sum \left( y_i - \bar{y} \right)^2}}

First, I'll calculate xˉ\bar{x}, yˉ\bar{y}, and all necessary terms for the dataset to determine rr. numpy as np

Data

x = np.array([39.2, 45.2, 41.6, 38.5, 2.5, 19.5, 53.8, 56.9, 59.2, 61.1]) y = np.array([104.5, 18.1, -36, -4.8, 270.2, 177.9, -6.3, -71.1, -50.1, 23])

Means of x and y

mean_x = np.mean(x) mean_y = np.mean(y)

Calculating the terms for r

numerator = np.sum((x - mean_x) * (y - mean_y)) denominator = np.sqrt(np.sum((x - mean_x)**2) * np.sum((y - mean_y)**2))

Correlation coefficient

r = numerator / denominator r**(a)** The correlation coefficient (rr) for the data set is approximately:

r=0.8929r = -0.8929


(b) P-value for the correlation coefficient

To calculate the p-value, we use a t-distribution with degrees of freedom (df=n2df = n - 2):

t=rn21r2t = r \sqrt{\frac{n-2}{1-r^2}}

Here, n=10n = 10. I'll calculate tt and determine the p-value. scipy.stats import t

Sample size and degrees of freedom

n = len(x) df = n - 2

Calculating t statistic

t_stat = r * np.sqrt((n - 2) / (1 - r**2))

Calculating two-tailed p-value

p_value = 2 * t.sf(np.abs(t_stat), df) t_stat, p_value**(b)** The t-statistic is approximately:

t=5.6076t = -5.6076

The p-value for this correlation coefficient is:

p-value=0.0005p\text{-value} = 0.0005


(c) Conclusion about the correlation

Since the p-value 0.00050.0005 is much smaller than the significance level α=0.10\alpha = 0.10, we reject the null hypothesis.

Conclusion: We have statistically significant evidence that there is a strong negative linear correlation between xx and yy in the population.


Do you want a detailed breakdown of these calculations? Here are some questions to consider next:

  1. How does the significance level (α\alpha) affect the conclusion?
  2. Can we graph the data to visualize the correlation?
  3. What does a negative correlation coefficient mean in practical terms?
  4. How would the conclusion change with a higher p-value?
  5. Is there a way to calculate rr using software or a calculator for verification?

Tip: Always verify statistical conclusions by checking the assumptions of the test (e.g., linearity, independence).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Correlation
Linear Relationship
Hypothesis Testing
Significance Testing

Formulas

Pearson Correlation Coefficient: r = Σ((x_i - x̄)(y_i - ȳ)) / √(Σ(x_i - x̄)^2 * Σ(y_i - ȳ)^2)
t-statistic for correlation: t = r * √((n - 2) / (1 - r^2))

Theorems

Hypothesis Testing for Correlation Coefficients
t-Distribution for Small Samples

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level