Math Problem Statement

5, 69.0 20, 67.5 25, 66.8 40, 65.7 60, 64.2 84, 63.2 105, 61.0 find least-square regression line

Solution

To find the least-squares regression line, we need to fit a line of the form:

y=mx+by = mx + b

where mm is the slope of the line, and bb is the y-intercept. The least-squares method minimizes the sum of the squared residuals between the observed values and the values predicted by the line.

Given Data Points:

(5,69.0),(20,67.5),(25,66.8),(40,65.7),(60,64.2),(84,63.2),(105,61.0)(5, 69.0), (20, 67.5), (25, 66.8), (40, 65.7), (60, 64.2), (84, 63.2), (105, 61.0)

We will follow these steps:

  1. Calculate the means of the x-values (xˉ\bar{x}) and y-values (yˉ\bar{y}).

  2. Calculate the slope mm using the formula:

    m=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2m = \frac{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}}{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})^2}}

  3. Calculate the y-intercept bb using the formula:

    b=yˉmxˉb = \bar{y} - m \bar{x}

Let's calculate these values step by step.

Step 1: Calculate the means

xˉ=5+20+25+40+60+84+1057\bar{x} = \frac{5 + 20 + 25 + 40 + 60 + 84 + 105}{7} yˉ=69.0+67.5+66.8+65.7+64.2+63.2+61.07\bar{y} = \frac{69.0 + 67.5 + 66.8 + 65.7 + 64.2 + 63.2 + 61.0}{7}

Step 2: Slope mm

We calculate each term in the numerator and denominator:

m=(xixˉ)(yiyˉ)(xixˉ)2m = \frac{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})(y_i - \bar{y})}}{\sum{(x_i - \bar{x})^2}}

Step 3: Y-intercept bb

After calculating the slope, we can substitute it into the equation to find the intercept.

Let me compute this for you.The least-squares regression line has the following equation:

y=0.0749x+68.968y = -0.0749x + 68.968

Interpretation:

  • Slope mm: -0.0749 indicates that for each increase of 1 unit in xx, yy decreases by approximately 0.0749 units.
  • Intercept bb: 68.968 represents the predicted yy-value when x=0x = 0.

Would you like to explore the details or have any questions?

Here are five follow-up questions:

  1. How can we use the regression line to make predictions?
  2. What does the slope tell us about the relationship between xx and yy?
  3. How would you test the accuracy of this regression model?
  4. What is the meaning of residuals in the context of regression?
  5. Can this regression line be applied to values of xx far outside the given range?

Tip: Always check for outliers, as they can significantly impact the regression line.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Least-Squares Regression
Linear Algebra

Formulas

y = mx + b
m = Σ((x_i - x̄)(y_i - ȳ)) / Σ((x_i - x̄)^2)
b = ȳ - m * x̄

Theorems

Least-Squares Regression Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12