Math Problem Statement

Kramer Ltd last paid a dividend of $0.20 three years ago. Today the company announced they will resume paying dividends. The planned dividends are $0.40 in one year's time, $0.50 in two years' time, and thereafter dividends will increase by a constant rate of 3% p.a. indefinitely. If the required rate of return for Kramer is 11%, what is a fair price for one share today?

Group of answer choices

$5.63

$6.19

$6.25

$5.99

$0.36

Solution

To determine the fair price of a share today for Kramer Ltd, given the future dividends and the required rate of return, we will use the Dividend Discount Model (DDM).

Here's the step-by-step process:

  1. Calculate the present value of dividends for the first two years:

    • Dividend in Year 1 (D1D_1) = $0.40
    • Dividend in Year 2 (D2D_2) = $0.50

    The present value of these dividends is given by:

    PV(D1)=D1(1+r)1=0.40(1+0.11)1=0.401.110.3604PV(D_1) = \frac{D_1}{(1 + r)^1} = \frac{0.40}{(1 + 0.11)^1} = \frac{0.40}{1.11} \approx 0.3604

    PV(D2)=D2(1+r)2=0.50(1+0.11)2=0.501.23210.4059PV(D_2) = \frac{D_2}{(1 + r)^2} = \frac{0.50}{(1 + 0.11)^2} = \frac{0.50}{1.2321} \approx 0.4059

  2. Calculate the present value of dividends starting from Year 3 onwards (perpetual growth model):

    From Year 3 onwards, dividends will grow at a constant rate of 3% per annum. The dividend in Year 3 (D3D_3) will be:

    D3=D2×(1+g)=0.50×1.03=0.515D_3 = D_2 \times (1 + g) = 0.50 \times 1.03 = 0.515

    The present value of all future dividends from Year 3 onwards (using the Gordon Growth Model) is calculated as follows:

    PVD3 onwards=D3rg=0.5150.110.03=0.5150.08=6.4375PV_{D_3 \text{ onwards}} = \frac{D_3}{r - g} = \frac{0.515}{0.11 - 0.03} = \frac{0.515}{0.08} = 6.4375

    This present value is at Year 2, so we need to discount it back to today's value (Year 0):

    PVD3 onwards (today)=6.4375(1+0.11)2=6.43751.23215.224PV_{D_3 \text{ onwards (today)}} = \frac{6.4375}{(1 + 0.11)^2} = \frac{6.4375}{1.2321} \approx 5.224

  3. Sum the present values to find the fair price of the share today:

    Fair price=PV(D1)+PV(D2)+PVD3 onwards (today)=0.3604+0.4059+5.2245.9903\text{Fair price} = PV(D_1) + PV(D_2) + PV_{D_3 \text{ onwards (today)}} = 0.3604 + 0.4059 + 5.224 \approx 5.9903

Thus, the fair price for one share today is approximately $5.99.

The correct answer from the given choices is $5.99.

Would you like further details on this calculation or have any questions? Here are some related questions you might find interesting:

  1. How does the required rate of return affect the fair price of a stock?
  2. What is the significance of the constant growth rate in the Gordon Growth Model?
  3. How would a change in the initial dividends affect the stock price?
  4. Can the Dividend Discount Model be used for companies that do not pay dividends?
  5. What are the limitations of the Dividend Discount Model?

Tip: Always check the assumptions behind the growth rates and required returns when using the Dividend Discount Model to ensure they are realistic and applicable to the company being analyzed.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Dividend Discount Model
Present Value of Dividends
Perpetual Growth Model
Gordon Growth Model

Formulas

PV(D_1) = D_1 / (1 + r)^1
PV(D_2) = D_2 / (1 + r)^2
D_3 = D_2 * (1 + g)
PV_D3 onwards = D_3 / (r - g)

Theorems

Gordon Growth Model

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Finance or Economics