Math Problem Statement

The Jarrow-Rudd model (aka, the lognormal binomial tree) is a binomial tree in which the up and down factors are defned as follows u = e ! r− σ2 2 " h+σ √h , d = e ! r− σ2 2 " h−σ √h , where • r stands for the continuously-compounded, risk-free interest rate, • δ is the stock’s dividend yield, • σ denotes the volatility parameter, and • h stands for the length of a single period in a tree. Answer the following questions: a. (2 points) What is the ratio Su/Sd? b. (2 points) What is the (as simplifed as possible) expression for the risk-neutral probability of the stock price going up in a single step? c. (5 points) As was the case with the forward tree, the no-arbitrage condition for the binomial asset pricing model is satisfed for the Jarrow-Rudd tree regardless of the specifc values of σ, δ, r and h. True or false?

Solution

To answer these questions on the Jarrow-Rudd model, let's go through each question systematically.

Question (a)

To find the ratio Su/SdS_u / S_d, where:

  • Su=S0uS_u = S_0 \cdot u and Sd=S0dS_d = S_0 \cdot d
  • u=e(rσ22)h+σhu = e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h + \sigma \sqrt{h}}
  • d=e(rσ22)hσhd = e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h - \sigma \sqrt{h}}

The ratio Su/SdS_u / S_d is: SuSd=S0uS0d=ud\frac{S_u}{S_d} = \frac{S_0 \cdot u}{S_0 \cdot d} = \frac{u}{d}

Now substitute the expressions for uu and dd: ud=e(rσ22)h+σhe(rσ22)hσh\frac{u}{d} = \frac{e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h + \sigma \sqrt{h}}}{e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h - \sigma \sqrt{h}}}

Since both terms share the base ee, we can combine them as: ud=e((rσ22)h+σh)((rσ22)hσh)\frac{u}{d} = e^{\left((r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h + \sigma \sqrt{h}\right) - \left((r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h - \sigma \sqrt{h}\right)}

Simplifying, we get: ud=e2σh\frac{u}{d} = e^{2 \sigma \sqrt{h}}

Thus, SuSd=e2σh\frac{S_u}{S_d} = e^{2 \sigma \sqrt{h}}


Question (b)

The risk-neutral probability pp of the stock price going up in a single step in the binomial model is given by the formula: p=e(rδ)hdudp = \frac{e^{(r - \delta) h} - d}{u - d}

Substituting u=e(rσ22)h+σhu = e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h + \sigma \sqrt{h}} and d=e(rσ22)hσhd = e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h - \sigma \sqrt{h}}, we proceed to simplify the expression.

Since ud=e(rσ22)h+σhe(rσ22)hσhu - d = e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h + \sigma \sqrt{h}} - e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h - \sigma \sqrt{h}}, it can be simplified as: ud=e(rσ22)h(eσheσh)u - d = e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h} \left( e^{\sigma \sqrt{h}} - e^{-\sigma \sqrt{h}} \right)

Using the identity eσheσh=2sinh(σh)e^{\sigma \sqrt{h}} - e^{-\sigma \sqrt{h}} = 2 \sinh(\sigma \sqrt{h}), we get: ud=e(rσ22)h2sinh(σh)u - d = e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h} \cdot 2 \sinh(\sigma \sqrt{h})

Then, p=e(rδ)he(rσ22)hσhe(rσ22)h2sinh(σh)p = \frac{e^{(r - \delta) h} - e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h - \sigma \sqrt{h}}}{e^{(r - \frac{\sigma^2}{2}) h} \cdot 2 \sinh(\sigma \sqrt{h})}

After simplifying, we find that pp depends on r,δ,h,σr, \delta, h, \sigma, and remains in terms of ee-based expressions.


Question (c)

True or False: "As was the case with the forward tree, the no-arbitrage condition for the binomial asset pricing model is satisfied for the Jarrow-Rudd tree regardless of the specific values of σ\sigma, δ\delta, rr, and hh."

Answer: True.

In the Jarrow-Rudd model, the no-arbitrage condition is inherently satisfied by the construction of uu and dd, ensuring that the stock price will align with the risk-neutral valuation framework, regardless of the values of σ\sigma, δ\delta, rr, and hh.


Would you like more details on any part of these explanations or need further clarification? Here are some related questions that might also interest you:

  1. How does the Jarrow-Rudd model differ from the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR) model in terms of up and down factors?
  2. Why is it essential for the no-arbitrage condition to hold in binomial tree models?
  3. What role does the dividend yield δ\delta play in adjusting the risk-neutral probability?
  4. Can we apply the Jarrow-Rudd model to options with dividends, and if so, how?
  5. How does the period length hh influence the accuracy of the model in approximating continuous stock price movements?

Tip: When working with binomial trees, always check if the model requires adjustments for dividends to maintain accurate risk-neutral probabilities.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Financial Mathematics
Binomial Tree Model
Risk-neutral Probability
No-arbitrage Condition

Formulas

Up factor (u) = e^((r − σ^2/2) h + σ√h)
Down factor (d) = e^((r − σ^2/2) h − σ√h)
Risk-neutral probability (p) = (e^((r - δ) h) - d) / (u - d)
Ratio Su/Sd = e^(2σ√h)

Theorems

No-arbitrage Principle
Risk-neutral Valuation

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate level (Finance/Mathematics)