Math Problem Statement

A survey organization drew a simple random sample of 625 households from a city of 100,000 households. The sample mean number of people in the 625 households was 2.30, and a 95% confidence interval for the mean number of people in the 100,000 households was 2.16 < μ < 2.44. Choose the correct interpretation of the confidence interval.

Solution

The question is about interpreting a confidence interval. The correct interpretation of the given confidence interval is:

"We are 95% confident that the mean number of people in the 100,000 households is between 2.16 and 2.44."

Explanation:

  1. Confidence intervals refer to a range of values where we estimate the true population parameter (in this case, the mean number of people per household in the population of 100,000 households) to lie with a certain level of confidence (95% in this case).
  2. The sample of 625 households provides an estimate of the population mean, but the interval accounts for sampling variability.
  3. Key point: The interpretation applies to the population (100,000 households), not the sample itself, and does not refer to individual probabilities or specific percentages of the sample.

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Related Questions:

  1. What would happen to the confidence interval if the sample size were increased?
  2. How would the interpretation change for a 99% confidence interval instead of 95%?
  3. Why is it incorrect to say the probability is 0.95 for the mean to be in this interval?
  4. What assumptions are required for the calculation of this confidence interval to be valid?
  5. How is the margin of error calculated for this confidence interval?

Tip: Always remember, confidence intervals provide a range for population parameters, not probabilities about the sample or the data itself.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Confidence intervals
Sampling
Population mean estimation

Formulas

Confidence interval formula: CI = x̄ ± z*(σ/√n)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of confidence intervals

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or college-level introductory statistics