Math Problem Statement

A student was asked to find a 90% confidence interval for widget width using data from a random sample of size n = 25. Which of the following is a correct interpretation of the interval 11 < μ < 29.6?

Solution

To interpret a 90% confidence interval correctly, we need to understand that this interval provides an estimate for the population mean, not individual measurements. The interval 11<μ<29.611 < \mu < 29.6 means we are 90% confident that the true population mean μ\mu of the widget width lies within the range 11 to 29.6.

Let's evaluate each option:

  1. "The mean width of all widgets is between 11 and 29.6, 90% of the time. We know this is true because the mean of our sample is between 11 and 29.6."

    • Incorrect. A confidence interval does not guarantee that all widget widths are within this range, only that the population mean lies within this interval with 90% confidence.
  2. "With 90% confidence, the mean width of a randomly selected widget will not be between 11 and 29.6."

    • Incorrect. Confidence intervals apply to the population mean, not individual widgets.
  3. "There is a 90% chance that the mean of a sample of 25 widgets will be between 11 and 29.6."

    • Incorrect. This interpretation is for the population mean, not the mean of another sample of widgets.
  4. "With 90% confidence, the mean width of all widgets is between 11 and 29.6."

    • Correct. This correctly interprets that we are 90% confident the true population mean falls within the interval.
  5. "There is a 90% chance that the mean of the population is below 11."

    • Incorrect. This is irrelevant, as the interval provides information about the range 11<μ<29.611 < \mu < 29.6, not values below 11.

Answer: The correct option is the fourth one: "With 90% confidence, the mean width of all widgets is between 11 and 29.6."

Would you like further clarification on confidence intervals?


Follow-up Questions:

  1. What is the difference between confidence intervals and probability for individual data points?
  2. How would a 95% confidence interval differ from a 90% confidence interval?
  3. Can confidence intervals ever guarantee the true mean of the population?
  4. How is the sample size related to the width of a confidence interval?
  5. What does it mean if a confidence interval is very wide?

Tip: Confidence intervals provide a range for where the population mean is likely to be, not individual values.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Population Mean

Formulas

Confidence Interval Formula: CI = sample mean ± (critical value * standard error)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

College