Math Problem Statement

Business students taking statistics at Colonel Samuel College believe that the mean score on a first statistics test is at most 66. An instructor, intending to prove that the mean score is higher, randomly samples 17 statistics students and obtains the following scores:

61.9, 85.5, 62.7, 69.2, 66.5, 73.5, 61.9, 88, 75.6, 85.5, 73.5, 73.5, 64.3, 68.4, 64.3, 66.5, 66.5 Test grades are believed to be normally distributed.

Use a significance level of 1%. Round answers to at least 3 decimal places. Calculate the test statistic: t=t= 

State the critical value at α=0.01α=0.01: 

Solution

To solve this hypothesis test, we proceed as follows:

Step 1: State the hypotheses

  • Null hypothesis (H0H_0): μ66\mu \leq 66 (The mean score is at most 66).
  • Alternative hypothesis (HaH_a): μ>66\mu > 66 (The mean score is greater than 66).

This is a one-tailed t-test because we are testing if the mean is greater than 66.

Step 2: Calculate the sample statistics

The sample scores are: 61.9,85.5,62.7,69.2,66.5,73.5,61.9,88,75.6,85.5,73.5,73.5,64.3,68.4,64.3,66.5,66.561.9, 85.5, 62.7, 69.2, 66.5, 73.5, 61.9, 88, 75.6, 85.5, 73.5, 73.5, 64.3, 68.4, 64.3, 66.5, 66.5 Let n=17n = 17 (sample size).

  1. Sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}): xˉ=Sum of all valuesn\bar{x} = \frac{\text{Sum of all values}}{n}

  2. Sample standard deviation (ss): s=(xixˉ)2n1s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}}

Step 3: Compute the test statistic (tt)

The test statistic is calculated using: t=xˉμ0s/nt = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{n}} where:

  • μ0=66\mu_0 = 66 (mean under H0H_0),
  • ss is the sample standard deviation,
  • n=17n = 17 is the sample size.

Step 4: Determine the critical value

For a one-tailed test with α=0.01\alpha = 0.01 and n1=16n - 1 = 16 degrees of freedom, use a t-table or calculator to find the critical value.

Now, let's compute the values. numpy as np from scipy.stats import t

Data

scores = np.array([61.9, 85.5, 62.7, 69.2, 66.5, 73.5, 61.9, 88, 75.6, 85.5, 73.5, 73.5, 64.3, 68.4, 64.3, 66.5, 66.5])

Hypothesized mean

mu_0 = 66

Sample size

n = len(scores)

Sample mean and standard deviation

sample_mean = np.mean(scores) sample_std = np.std(scores, ddof=1) # ddof=1 for sample standard deviation

Test statistic (t)

t_statistic = (sample_mean - mu_0) / (sample_std / np.sqrt(n))

Degrees of freedom

df = n - 1

Critical value for one-tailed test at alpha = 0.01

alpha = 0.01 critical_value = t.ppf(1 - alpha, df)

sample_mean, sample_std, t_statistic, critical_value### Results:

  1. Sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}): 71.01871.018
  2. Sample standard deviation (ss): 8.4578.457
  3. Test statistic (tt): 2.4462.446
  4. **Critical value at α=0.01\alpha = 0.01 (one-tailed, df=16df = 16): 2.5832.583

Conclusion:

Since the test statistic t=2.446t = 2.446 is less than the critical value 2.5832.583, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. There is insufficient evidence at the 1% significance level to conclude that the mean score is greater than 66.


Would you like further details or explanations?
Here are five related questions to consider:

  1. How would the conclusion change if the significance level was 5% instead of 1%?
  2. What assumptions must be satisfied for this test to be valid?
  3. How would the result change if the sample size was larger?
  4. Can you explain the difference between a one-tailed and a two-tailed test?
  5. How is the critical value determined for a given significance level and degrees of freedom?

Tip: Always check the normality assumption when performing t-tests, especially for small sample sizes!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
T-Distribution
Statistics

Formulas

Sample mean: \(\bar{x} = \frac{\text{Sum of all values}}{n}\)
Sample standard deviation: \(s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}}\)
Test statistic: \(t = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{n}}\)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of T-Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level (Statistics)