Math Problem Statement

Executives of a supermarket chain are interested in the amount of time that customers spend in the stores during shopping trips. The mean shopping time, μ , spent by customers at the supermarkets has been reported to be 35 minutes, but executives have good reason to believe that μ is less than 35 minutes. The executives hire a statistical consultant and ask her to perform a statistical test. To perform her statistical test, the consultant collects a random sample of shopping times at the supermarkets. She computes the mean of these times to be 28 minutes and the standard deviation of the times to be 12 minutes.

Based on this information, complete the parts below.

(a) What are the null hypothesis H0 and the alternative hypothesis H1 that should be used for the test? (b) Suppose that the consultant decides to reject the null hypothesis. What sort of error might she be making? (c) Suppose the true mean shopping time spent by customers at the supermarkets is 35 minutes. Fill in the blanks to describe a Type I error. A Type I error would be the hypothesis that is when, in fact, is .

Solution

Let's break this problem down part by part:

Part (a) Null and Alternative Hypotheses

In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis (H₀) usually represents the statement we assume to be true until evidence suggests otherwise. The alternative hypothesis (H₁) is what we aim to support with the test.

  • The executives have reason to believe that the mean shopping time, μ, is less than 35 minutes.
  • The current belief is that the mean shopping time is μ = 35 minutes.

Thus, the hypotheses should be formulated as follows:

  • Null hypothesis (H₀): μ = 35 minutes
    (The mean shopping time is 35 minutes.)

  • Alternative hypothesis (H₁): μ < 35 minutes
    (The mean shopping time is less than 35 minutes.)

Part (b) Type of Error

When the consultant rejects the null hypothesis, there are two possible errors that can occur in hypothesis testing:

  • Type I error (False Positive): This occurs when we reject a true null hypothesis.
  • Type II error (False Negative): This occurs when we fail to reject a false null hypothesis.

In this case, if the consultant rejects the null hypothesis (μ = 35 minutes), but in reality, μ is still 35 minutes, she would be making a Type I error. That is, she would be rejecting a true null hypothesis.

Part (c) Type I Error Description

Suppose the true mean shopping time is indeed 35 minutes, which aligns with the null hypothesis. If the consultant rejects the null hypothesis (believing μ < 35 minutes), she would be committing a Type I error.

Here’s how to fill in the blanks:

  • A Type I error would be rejecting the hypothesis that μ = 35 minutes when, in fact, μ = 35 minutes.

This means she mistakenly concludes that the mean shopping time is less than 35 minutes when, in fact, it is still 35 minutes.


Let me know if you'd like more details or have any questions.

Here are some relative questions to further understand the topic:

  1. How would you calculate the test statistic for this hypothesis test?
  2. What is the significance level (α) in this context, and how does it relate to Type I error?
  3. How could a Type II error occur in this test?
  4. What assumptions must be made about the distribution of shopping times to use a t-test here?
  5. How could the supermarket executives reduce the risk of making a Type I error?

Tip: In hypothesis testing, always define the null and alternative hypotheses clearly before conducting the test, and consider the implications of both Type I and Type II errors.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Type I and Type II Errors
Normal Distribution

Formulas

Z = (X̄ - μ) / (σ/√n)
Type I Error: P(reject H₀ | H₀ is true)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

College Level (Statistics)