Math Problem Statement

find whats incoprrect and correct it

A sample of 250 items from lot A contains 10 defective items, and a sample of 300 items from lot B is found to contain 18 defective items. At a significance level α = 0.02, is there a significant difference between the quality of the two lots?

Use the following table to help you find the p-value.

Normal Probability Table

a) What are the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses?

Ho: P1 - P2 =    0

Ha: P1 - P2 ≠

0

b) What is the value of the test statistic? Round to 2 decimal places. 

-1.06

c) What is the p-value?

0.2892

d) Is there sufficient evidence at the 2% level to support the claim that the quality of the two lots is different?

A. No

B. Yes

A

Solution

To determine what is incorrect in this solution, let's analyze each part systematically:


a) Hypotheses:

  • Null hypothesis (H0H_0): P1P2=0P_1 - P_2 = 0
    Correct
    The null hypothesis correctly states that there is no difference in the proportion of defective items between the two lots.

  • Alternative hypothesis (HaH_a): P1P20P_1 - P_2 \neq 0
    Correct
    The alternative hypothesis correctly indicates a two-tailed test for whether there is a significant difference between the proportions.


b) Test Statistic Calculation:

The test statistic formula for comparing two proportions is:

z=(P1P2)P^(1P^)(1n1+1n2)z = \frac{(P_1 - P_2)}{\sqrt{\hat{P}(1 - \hat{P})\left(\frac{1}{n_1} + \frac{1}{n_2}\right)}}

Where:

  • P1=10250=0.04P_1 = \frac{10}{250} = 0.04, P2=18300=0.06P_2 = \frac{18}{300} = 0.06
  • P^=x1+x2n1+n2=10+18250+300=0.056\hat{P} = \frac{x_1 + x_2}{n_1 + n_2} = \frac{10 + 18}{250 + 300} = 0.056
  • n1=250n_1 = 250, n2=300n_2 = 300

Now substituting:

z=(0.040.06)0.056(10.056)(1250+1300)=0.020.0560.9440.00707z = \frac{(0.04 - 0.06)}{\sqrt{0.056(1 - 0.056)\left(\frac{1}{250} + \frac{1}{300}\right)}} = \frac{-0.02}{\sqrt{0.056 \cdot 0.944 \cdot 0.00707}}

z=0.020.000374=0.020.01931.04z = \frac{-0.02}{\sqrt{0.000374}} = \frac{-0.02}{0.0193} \approx -1.04

The correct test statistic is approximately 1.04-1.04, not -1.06. This is a small numerical discrepancy.


c) P-Value:

For a zz-score of 1.04-1.04, the corresponding p-value for a two-tailed test can be found using a standard normal table or software.

  • From the table, the area to the left of z=1.04z = -1.04 is approximately 0.14920.1492.
  • The total p-value for a two-tailed test is 2×0.1492=0.29842 \times 0.1492 = 0.2984.

The correct p-value is approximately 0.2984, not 0.2892.


d) Decision:

At a significance level of α=0.02\alpha = 0.02:

  • The p-value (0.29840.2984) is much greater than 0.020.02.
  • Hence, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

The conclusion is:

  • "No, there is not sufficient evidence to support the claim that the quality of the two lots is different."

The answer "A. No" is correct.


Corrections:

  1. The test statistic should be 1.04-1.04 (not 1.06-1.06).
  2. The p-value should be 0.2984 (not 0.28920.2892).

Revised Answers:

a) H0:P1P2=0H_0: P_1 - P_2 = 0, Ha:P1P20H_a: P_1 - P_2 \neq 0 (Correct)
b) Test statistic: 1.04-1.04 (Incorrect earlier, corrected here)
c) p-value: 0.29840.2984 (Incorrect earlier, corrected here)
d) Conclusion: AA (Correct)


Do you want me to provide step-by-step explanations for the calculations?

Here are five relative questions to expand the understanding:

  1. What is the formula for pooling proportions in a hypothesis test?
  2. How does the choice of significance level (α\alpha) affect the conclusion?
  3. What are the implications of using a two-tailed vs. one-tailed test in this context?
  4. How would the conclusion change if the significance level were set to 0.050.05?
  5. Can this hypothesis test be conducted without pooling the proportions? If yes, how?

Tip: Always verify calculations using a normal table or software for accurate p-values, as small numerical errors can impact conclusions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Proportion Comparison
Significance Testing
Two-Tailed Test

Formulas

z = (P1 - P2) / sqrt(P(1 - P)(1/n1 + 1/n2))
P = (x1 + x2) / (n1 + n2)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, Undergraduate Introductory Statistics