Math Problem Statement

A logistics company claims that a newly implemented routing optimization system reduces delivery times by an average of 10 minutes. To verify this claim, an independent logistics researcher conducted a study on a sample of 100 delivery routes after the system was implemented. The sample showed a mean reduction in delivery time of 9.5 minutes, with a standard deviation of 3 minutes. The researcher wishes to test the hypothesis that the mean reduction in delivery time is less than the claimed 10 minutes, using a 0.05 significance level.

Solution

This problem involves hypothesis testing, specifically a one-sample t-test to verify if the observed mean reduction in delivery time is statistically significantly less than the claimed 10 minutes. Let's walk through the steps required to solve it.


Step 1: Define the Hypotheses

  • Null hypothesis H0H_0: The mean reduction in delivery time is at least 10 minutes.
    H0:μ10H_0: \mu \geq 10
  • Alternative hypothesis H1H_1: The mean reduction in delivery time is less than 10 minutes.
    H1:μ<10H_1: \mu < 10

This is a left-tailed test since the researcher is interested in determining if the reduction is significantly less than 10 minutes.


Step 2: Given Information

  • Sample size: n=100n = 100
  • Sample mean: xˉ=9.5\bar{x} = 9.5
  • Claimed population mean: μ0=10\mu_0 = 10
  • Sample standard deviation: s=3s = 3
  • Significance level: α=0.05\alpha = 0.05

Step 3: Compute the Test Statistic

We will use the t-statistic formula for a one-sample test:

t=xˉμ0snt = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}}

Substitute the given values:

t=9.5103100=0.50.3=1.67t = \frac{9.5 - 10}{\frac{3}{\sqrt{100}}} = \frac{-0.5}{0.3} = -1.67


Step 4: Determine the Critical Value

Since this is a left-tailed test with α=0.05\alpha = 0.05 and degrees of freedom df=n1=99df = n - 1 = 99, we need the critical value for t0.05,99t_{0.05, 99}.

Using a t-distribution table or a calculator: t0.05,991.660t_{0.05, 99} \approx -1.660


Step 5: Decision Rule

  • If the calculated tt-statistic is less than the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis.
  • If the calculated tt-statistic is greater than the critical value, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

In this case: t=1.67andtcritical=1.660t = -1.67 \quad \text{and} \quad t_{critical} = -1.660

Since 1.67<1.660-1.67 < -1.660, we reject the null hypothesis.


Step 6: Conclusion

At the 0.05 significance level, there is enough evidence to conclude that the mean reduction in delivery time is less than the claimed 10 minutes.


Do you have any questions or would you like further clarifications on any part?


Here are five follow-up questions to expand your understanding:

  1. How would the result change if the sample size was smaller?
  2. What is the p-value for this test, and how does it relate to the conclusion?
  3. How would a two-tailed test differ from this one-tailed test?
  4. Why did we use the t-distribution instead of the normal distribution?
  5. What are Type I and Type II errors in this context?

Tip: For larger samples (e.g., n>30n > 30), the t-distribution closely approximates the normal distribution, which makes t-tests very flexible!

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
One-sample t-test
Significance Level
Test Statistic

Formulas

t = (x̄ - μ₀) / (s / √n)
Critical value from t-distribution at α = 0.05

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
t-distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics