Math Problem Statement
A number of initiatives on the topic of legalized gambling have appeared on state ballots. A political candidate has decided to support legalization of casino gambling if he is convinced that more than two-thirds of American adults approve of casino gambling. Suppose that 1,025 of the people in a random sample of 1,531 American adults said they approved of casino gambling. Is there convincing evidence that more than two-thirds approve? Test the relevant hypotheses using a significance level of 0.05. State the appropriate null and alternative hypotheses using exact numerical values. (Let p be the population proportion of American adults who approve of casino gambling. Enter != for ≠ as needed.)
Solution
To test whether more than two-thirds of American adults approve of casino gambling, we need to set up the null and alternative hypotheses based on the population proportion .
- Null Hypothesis (): (or )
- Alternative Hypothesis (): (or )
Next, we can perform a hypothesis test using the sample data provided.
Step 1: Sample Proportion Calculation
The sample proportion () can be calculated as follows:
Step 2: Standard Error Calculation
The standard error (SE) for the sample proportion under the null hypothesis can be calculated using the formula:
Where (or approximately 0.6667) and :
Step 3: Z-Statistic Calculation
We can now calculate the Z-statistic using:
Step 4: P-Value Calculation
Using a Z-table or standard normal distribution, we find the p-value associated with . This p-value represents the probability of observing a sample proportion as extreme as given that is true.
Step 5: Decision Rule
With a significance level of , we compare the p-value to :
- If the p-value < 0.05, we reject .
- If the p-value ≥ 0.05, we do not reject .
Given that the calculated Z-value is not very extreme, the corresponding p-value is likely greater than 0.05.
Conclusion
Based on these calculations, we would conclude whether there is sufficient evidence to support the alternative hypothesis that more than two-thirds of American adults approve of casino gambling.
Do you want more details on any part of the hypothesis testing process or further questions? Here are five related questions:
- How do you interpret the p-value in the context of this test?
- What assumptions are made when performing this hypothesis test?
- How would the conclusion change if the sample size were larger?
- What are potential implications of legalizing casino gambling based on public approval?
- How can we improve the accuracy of our estimate of ?
And here’s a tip: Always ensure your sample is representative of the population to avoid biased results in surveys.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Hypothesis Testing
Proportions
Formulas
Sample Proportion \( \hat{p} = \frac{x}{n} \)
Standard Error \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{p_0(1 - p_0)}{n}} \)
Z-Statistic \( Z = \frac{\hat{p} - p_0}{SE} \)
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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