Math Problem Statement

a local planner believes the average household size in a community may be significantly larger than the countrywide average of 2.23. Based on a random sample of 81 households, the planner finds an average household size of 2.61. The standard deviation of the sample data is s=2.20. Using a significance alpha level of 0.05, test the hypothesis that the community's mean household size does not differ from the countrywide average. State the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis, and the critical value of the test statistic. What is the planner's conclusion? Finally, give the p-value associated with the test statistic.

Solution

To test the hypothesis that the community's mean household size differs from the countrywide average, we will follow the hypothesis testing process.


Step 1: State the hypotheses

  • Null Hypothesis (H0H_0): The community's mean household size is equal to the countrywide average. H0:μ=2.23H_0: \mu = 2.23
  • Alternative Hypothesis (HaH_a): The community's mean household size is different from the countrywide average. Ha:μ2.23H_a: \mu \neq 2.23

This is a two-tailed test.


Step 2: Determine the test statistic

The test statistic for this situation is a t-statistic because we are using the sample standard deviation. The formula is: t=xˉμ0s/nt = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{n}} Where:

  • xˉ=2.61\bar{x} = 2.61 (sample mean)
  • μ0=2.23\mu_0 = 2.23 (population mean under the null hypothesis)
  • s=2.20s = 2.20 (sample standard deviation)
  • n=81n = 81 (sample size)

Plugging in the values: t=2.612.232.20/81t = \frac{2.61 - 2.23}{2.20 / \sqrt{81}} t=0.382.20/9t = \frac{0.38}{2.20 / 9} t=0.380.24441.554t = \frac{0.38}{0.2444} \approx 1.554


Step 3: Find the critical value

For a two-tailed test with α=0.05\alpha = 0.05 and df=n1=80df = n - 1 = 80, we find the critical t-value from the t-distribution table. Using degrees of freedom (80), the critical values are approximately: tcritical=±2.00t_{\text{critical}} = \pm 2.00


Step 4: Decision Rule

  • If t>2.00|t| > 2.00, reject the null hypothesis (H0H_0).
  • If t2.00|t| \leq 2.00, fail to reject the null hypothesis (H0H_0).

Here, t=1.554|t| = 1.554, which is less than 2.002.00. Therefore, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.


Step 5: p-value

Using a t-distribution table or statistical software, the p-value for t=1.554t = 1.554 with df=80df = 80 is approximately: p=0.124p = 0.124

Since p>αp > \alpha, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.


Conclusion

At the 0.05 significance level, there is not enough evidence to conclude that the mean household size in the community differs from the countrywide average of 2.23.


Summary of Results:

  1. Null Hypothesis (H0H_0): μ=2.23\mu = 2.23
  2. Alternative Hypothesis (HaH_a): μ2.23\mu \neq 2.23
  3. Critical t-value: ±2.00\pm 2.00
  4. Test statistic: t=1.554t = 1.554
  5. p-value: p=0.124p = 0.124

The planner concludes that the average household size in the community is not significantly different from the countrywide average.


Would you like additional details or further clarification on this analysis?
Here are 5 related questions to deepen your understanding:

  1. How is the test statistic affected by the sample size?
  2. What is the difference between a one-tailed and two-tailed test?
  3. Why do we use the t-distribution instead of the z-distribution in this case?
  4. How would the conclusion change if the alpha level was 0.10?
  5. What assumptions are made when conducting a t-test?

Tip: Always ensure the sample data satisfies the assumptions of normality and independence when performing a t-test.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Statistics
t-Distribution
Two-Tailed Test

Formulas

t = (x̄ - μ) / (s / √n)
Critical Value from t-distribution

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
t-Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12, College Level Statistics