Math Problem Statement

Suppose the mean​ wait-time for a telephone reservation agent at a large airline is

4545

seconds. A manager with the airline is concerned that business may be lost due to customers having to wait too long for an agent. To address this​ concern, the manager develops new airline reservation policies that are intended to reduce the amount of time an agent needs to spend with each customer. A random sample of

250250

customers results in a sample mean​ wait-time of

44.444.4

seconds with a standard deviation of

4.24.2

seconds. Using

alpha equals 0.05α=0.05

level of​ significance, do you believe the new policies were effective in reducing wait​ time? Do you think the results have any practical​ significance? P value

Solution

We will test the hypothesis that the new policies were effective in reducing the wait time using a one-sample t-test. Here's the procedure:

Step 1: Define the hypotheses

  • Null Hypothesis (H0H_0): The mean wait time has not decreased, i.e., μ=45\mu = 45 seconds.
  • Alternative Hypothesis (HaH_a): The mean wait time has decreased, i.e., μ<45\mu < 45 seconds.

Step 2: Set the level of significance

α=0.05\alpha = 0.05

Step 3: Test statistic formula

The formula for the t-test statistic is:

t=xˉμ0s/nt = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{n}}

Where:

  • xˉ=44.4\bar{x} = 44.4 (sample mean)
  • μ0=45\mu_0 = 45 (hypothesized mean)
  • s=4.2s = 4.2 (sample standard deviation)
  • n=250n = 250 (sample size)

Step 4: Compute the test statistic

Substitute the values:

t=44.4454.2/250t = \frac{44.4 - 45}{4.2 / \sqrt{250}}

t=0.64.2/15.81t = \frac{-0.6}{4.2 / 15.81}

t=0.60.26582.26t = \frac{-0.6}{0.2658} \approx -2.26

Step 5: Determine the critical value or p-value

For a one-tailed t-test with df=n1=2501=249df = n-1 = 250-1 = 249, use a t-distribution table or calculator:

  • tcriticalt_{critical} at α=0.05\alpha = 0.05: approximately 1.65-1.65 (negative because it's one-tailed).

Since t=2.26t = -2.26 is less than 1.65-1.65, we reject the null hypothesis.

Alternatively, calculate the p-value using a t-distribution calculator. For t=2.26t = -2.26 and df=249df = 249, the p-value is approximately 0.012.

Step 6: Conclusion

  1. Statistical Significance: Since p=0.012<α=0.05p = 0.012 < \alpha = 0.05, there is sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. The new policies were effective in reducing wait time.
  2. Practical Significance: The reduction from 45 seconds to 44.4 seconds may not be practically significant, depending on the context. A reduction of 0.6 seconds might not noticeably impact customer experience.

Summary

  • Test statistic (tt): 2.26-2.26
  • p-value: 0.012
  • Decision: Reject H0H_0 at α=0.05\alpha = 0.05.
  • Conclusion: There is evidence that the new policies reduced the mean wait time. Practical significance depends on the airline's goals.

Do you want further details or have any questions?

Relative Questions:

  1. What are the key differences between statistical and practical significance?
  2. How would the results change if the sample size were smaller?
  3. What other tests could be used for this scenario if assumptions of the t-test are not met?
  4. How can effect size be calculated to assess practical significance?
  5. What are the implications of reducing α\alpha to 0.01 in this context?

Tip: Always consider the context of the problem when interpreting practical significance alongside statistical significance!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Hypothesis Testing
One-Sample t-Test

Formulas

t = (x̄ - μ) / (s / √n)
p-value calculation using t-distribution

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Properties of the t-Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

College/University Level