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Topic 7 Homework (Nonadaptive)

Question 8 of 16 (1 point)**|**Question Attempt: 1 of Unlimited

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Question 8

For the 

50

 U.S. states, the least-squares regression equation relating the 1980 per capita income and the 1999 per capita income is 

=y+7.971.97x

, with 

x

 denoting 1980 per capita income and 

y

 denoting 1999 per capita income. The standard error of the slope of this least-squares regression line is approximately 

1.64

. (Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Survey of Current Business, May 2000.) 

Based on this information, test for a significant linear relationship between the variables 

x

 and 

y

 by doing a hypothesis test regarding the population slope 

β1

. (Assume that the variable 

y

 follows a normal distribution for each value of 

x

 and that the other regression assumptions are satisfied.) Use the 

0.10

 level of significance, and perform a two-tailed test. Then complete the parts below. 

(If necessary, consult a list of formulas.)

(a)

State the null hypothesis 

H0

 and the alternative hypothesis 

H1

.

H0:β1=0

H1:β1≠0

(b)

Determine the type of test statistic to use.

▼t

Degrees of freedom: 

(c)

Find the value of the test statistic. (Round to three or more decimal places.)

1.201

(d)

Find the two critical values at the 

0.10

 level of significance. (Round to three or more decimal places.)

and

(e)

Based on the data, can we conclude (using the 

0.10

 level) that there is a significant linear relationship between 1980 per capita income and 1999 per capita income for U.S. states?

Yes  No

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Solution

Let's go through this hypothesis test for the population slope β1\beta_1 of the regression line.

The regression equation is given as:

y=7.971+1.97xy = 7.971 + 1.97x

with the standard error of the slope being approximately 1.641.64.

Hypothesis Test Steps

(a) State the Null Hypothesis (H0H_0) and Alternative Hypothesis (H1H_1):

  • H0:β1=0H_0: \beta_1 = 0 (There is no linear relationship between the 1980 and 1999 per capita income.)
  • H1:β10H_1: \beta_1 \neq 0 (There is a significant linear relationship between the 1980 and 1999 per capita income.)

(b) Determine the Type of Test Statistic:

This is a t-test because we are testing the slope of a linear regression model.

Degrees of freedom (df) can be calculated using:

df=n2df = n - 2

where n=50n = 50 (the number of U.S. states). So,

df=502=48df = 50 - 2 = 48

(c) Find the Value of the Test Statistic:

The test statistic tt for the slope is calculated as:

t=β^10SEβ^1t = \frac{\hat{\beta}_1 - 0}{SE_{\hat{\beta}_1}}

where:

  • β^1=1.97\hat{\beta}_1 = 1.97 (the estimated slope),
  • SEβ^1=1.64SE_{\hat{\beta}_1} = 1.64 (the standard error of the slope).

Substituting the values:

t=1.9701.64=1.201t = \frac{1.97 - 0}{1.64} = 1.201

(d) Find the Two Critical Values:

For a two-tailed test at the 0.100.10 significance level, we look up the critical values for df=48df = 48 and a significance level of 0.100.10 (i.e., 0.050.05 in each tail). Using a t-distribution table or calculator:

t0.05,48±1.677t_{0.05, 48} \approx \pm 1.677

So, the critical values are approximately 1.677-1.677 and +1.677+1.677.

(e) Conclusion:

Since the test statistic t=1.201t = 1.201 is within the range 1.677t1.677-1.677 \leq t \leq 1.677, we fail to reject the null hypothesis H0H_0. This means that, at the 0.100.10 significance level, there is insufficient evidence to conclude that there is a significant linear relationship between the 1980 and 1999 per capita income for U.S. states.

Summary:

  • Test statistic: t=1.201t = 1.201
  • Critical values: ±1.677\pm 1.677
  • Conclusion: No significant linear relationship at the 0.10 level.

Would you like further details on any part of this process or the formulas involved?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. How would the conclusion change if the significance level was 0.05 instead of 0.10?
  2. What impact does a higher or lower standard error have on the test statistic?
  3. How do you calculate the confidence interval for the slope β1\beta_1?
  4. How does increasing the sample size affect the degrees of freedom and critical values?
  5. Can you explain how residuals are used to check regression assumptions?

Tip: When performing hypothesis tests for regression, always verify that the regression assumptions (linearity, normality, homoscedasticity, and independence) hold.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Linear Regression
Hypothesis Testing
Statistical Inference

Formulas

Least-squares regression equation: y = b0 + b1x
Test statistic for the slope: t = (b1 - 0) / SE(b1)
Degrees of freedom: df = n - 2

Theorems

T-distribution
Linear regression assumptions (linearity, normality, homoscedasticity)

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate level (Statistics/Linear Algebra)