Math Problem Statement

Suppose X is a geometric random variable with X ∈ {0, 1, 2, . . .} and with probability mass function P(X = x) = (1 − p) px, x = 0, 1, 2, . . . , for some 0 < p < 1. Find GX (t) = E(tX ) and indicate for what values of t are appropriate. What is, and explain, the value of GX (1). What is GX (0)

Solution

We are given that XX is a geometric random variable taking values in {0,1,2,}\{0, 1, 2, \dots\} with the probability mass function:

P(X=x)=(1p)pxfor x=0,1,2,,P(X = x) = (1 - p) p^x \quad \text{for } x = 0, 1, 2, \dots, where 0<p<10 < p < 1.

Part 1: Finding GX(t)=E(tX)G_X(t) = E(t^X)

The probability generating function GX(t)G_X(t) of a discrete random variable XX is defined as:

GX(t)=E(tX)=x=0P(X=x)txG_X(t) = E(t^X) = \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} P(X = x) t^x

Using the given PMF for XX, we can write:

GX(t)=x=0(1p)pxtxG_X(t) = \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (1 - p) p^x t^x

Factor out (1p)(1 - p):

GX(t)=(1p)x=0(pt)xG_X(t) = (1 - p) \sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (p t)^x

This is a geometric series with first term 1 and common ratio ptp t. The sum of an infinite geometric series is valid when the absolute value of the common ratio is less than 1, i.e., when pt<1|p t| < 1, and it is given by:

x=0(pt)x=11pt,for pt<1\sum_{x=0}^{\infty} (p t)^x = \frac{1}{1 - p t}, \quad \text{for } |p t| < 1

Thus, we have:

GX(t)=1p1pt,for t<1pG_X(t) = \frac{1 - p}{1 - p t}, \quad \text{for } |t| < \frac{1}{p}

Part 2: Finding GX(1)G_X(1)

We substitute t=1t = 1 into the expression for GX(t)G_X(t):

GX(1)=1p1p1=1p1p=1G_X(1) = \frac{1 - p}{1 - p \cdot 1} = \frac{1 - p}{1 - p} = 1

This makes sense because GX(1)=E(1X)=E(1)=1G_X(1) = E(1^X) = E(1) = 1, which reflects the total probability.

Part 3: Finding GX(0)G_X(0)

We substitute t=0t = 0 into the expression for GX(t)G_X(t):

GX(0)=1p1p0=1p1=1pG_X(0) = \frac{1 - p}{1 - p \cdot 0} = \frac{1 - p}{1} = 1 - p

This represents the probability that X=0X = 0, since GX(0)=E(0X)G_X(0) = E(0^X), and P(X=0)=1pP(X = 0) = 1 - p.

Summary of Results:

  1. GX(t)=1p1pt,t<1pG_X(t) = \frac{1 - p}{1 - p t}, \quad |t| < \frac{1}{p}
  2. GX(1)=1G_X(1) = 1
  3. GX(0)=1pG_X(0) = 1 - p

Explanation of GX(1)G_X(1):

  • GX(1)G_X(1) represents the sum of all probabilities, which must equal 1 because the total probability over all possible values of a probability distribution is always 1.

Explanation of GX(0)G_X(0):

  • GX(0)G_X(0) corresponds to the probability that X=0X = 0, which is P(X=0)=1pP(X = 0) = 1 - p.

Would you like more details on any step or have any further questions? Here are some related questions for deeper understanding:

  1. How does the geometric series formula apply to probability generating functions?
  2. What is the significance of the domain restriction t<1p|t| < \frac{1}{p}?
  3. How would you compute higher moments using the generating function?
  4. What does the first derivative of GX(t)G_X(t) tell you about the distribution?
  5. How does this geometric distribution relate to the negative binomial distribution?

Tip: The probability generating function is useful for calculating moments (like the mean and variance) of a random variable by taking derivatives at t=1t = 1.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Geometric Distribution
Probability Generating Function

Formulas

P(X = x) = (1 − p) p^x for x = 0, 1, 2, ...
G_X(t) = E(t^X) = (1 - p) / (1 - p t), |t| < 1/p
G_X(1) = 1
G_X(0) = 1 - p

Theorems

Geometric Series Sum Theorem
Probability Generating Function Definition

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level (Probability Theory)