Math Problem Statement

You own a stock that had returns of 9.31 percent, −6.72 percent, 22.38 percent, and 15.07 percent over the past four years. What was the geometric average return for this stock?

Multiple Choice

10.84%

9.47%

10.41%

8.84%

10.01%

Solution

The geometric average return for a stock over multiple periods is calculated using the formula:

Rg=(i=1n(1+Ri))1n1R_g = \left( \prod_{i=1}^n (1 + R_i) \right)^{\frac{1}{n}} - 1

Where:

  • RiR_i is the return for each period,
  • nn is the number of periods.

For the given returns: 9.31%9.31\%, 6.72%-6.72\%, 22.38%22.38\%, and 15.07%15.07\%, the steps are:

  1. Convert percentages to decimals:

    • R1=0.0931R_1 = 0.0931
    • R2=0.0672R_2 = -0.0672
    • R3=0.2238R_3 = 0.2238
    • R4=0.1507R_4 = 0.1507
  2. Compute 1+Ri1 + R_i for each period:

    • 1+R1=1.09311 + R_1 = 1.0931
    • 1+R2=0.93281 + R_2 = 0.9328
    • 1+R3=1.22381 + R_3 = 1.2238
    • 1+R4=1.15071 + R_4 = 1.1507
  3. Multiply these together: Product=1.0931×0.9328×1.2238×1.1507\text{Product} = 1.0931 \times 0.9328 \times 1.2238 \times 1.1507

  4. Take the fourth root (n=4n = 4): Rg=(Product)141R_g = \left( \text{Product} \right)^{\frac{1}{4}} - 1

Let’s calculate.

Product=1.0931×0.9328×1.2238×1.1507=1.439068\text{Product} = 1.0931 \times 0.9328 \times 1.2238 \times 1.1507 = 1.439068

Rg=(1.439068)141R_g = \left(1.439068\right)^{\frac{1}{4}} - 1

Rg=1.095(approximately)1=0.095 or 9.5%.R_g = 1.095 \, \text{(approximately)} - 1 = 0.095 \text{ or } 9.5\%.

Among the options, the closest value is 9.47%.

Answer: 9.47%

Would you like a step-by-step breakdown or have further questions?


Related Questions:

  1. What is the difference between arithmetic and geometric average returns?
  2. How do compounding effects influence geometric returns compared to arithmetic returns?
  3. Can geometric average returns ever be higher than arithmetic average returns?
  4. How do negative returns impact geometric averages?
  5. Why is the geometric average return preferred for multi-year investments?

Tip:

When analyzing returns, always compare the arithmetic and geometric averages to understand both the overall trend and the compounding effects of volatility.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Finance
Geometric Mean
Returns Analysis

Formulas

R_g = (∏(1 + R_i))^(1/n) - 1

Theorems

Geometric Mean Theorem for Compounding Returns

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Finance or Advanced High School (Grades 11-12)