Math Problem Statement

do not round the answer

Suppose that the lifetimes of tires of a certain brand are normally distributed with a mean of 74,500 miles and a standard deviation of σ miles. These tires come with a 60,000-mile warranty. The manufacturer of the tires can adjust σ during the production process, but the adjustment of σ is quite costly. The manufacturer wants to set σ once and for all so that only 1% of the tires will fail before the warranty expires. Find the standard deviation to be set. Carry your intermediate computations to at least four decimal places. Round your answer to at least one decimal place.

Solution

To solve this problem, we need to find the standard deviation (σ\sigma) of the lifetime of the tires so that only 1% of the tires fail before reaching the 60,000-mile warranty limit. The tire lifetimes are normally distributed with a mean of 74,500 miles.

Step-by-step Solution:

  1. Set up the problem using the normal distribution formula:

    • Mean (μ\mu) = 74,500 miles
    • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = unknown
    • P(X<60,000)=0.01P(X < 60,000) = 0.01 (1% of tires fail before 60,000 miles)
  2. Find the z-score corresponding to a cumulative probability of 0.01: Using a standard normal distribution table or a calculator:

    • z=2.3263z = -2.3263 (negative because it's in the left tail)
  3. Relate z-score to the normal distribution formula: The z-score formula is: z=Xμσz = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} Substituting the values: 2.3263=60,00074,500σ-2.3263 = \frac{60,000 - 74,500}{\sigma}

  4. Solve for σ\sigma: Rearrange the formula to isolate σ\sigma: σ=60,00074,5002.3263\sigma = \frac{60,000 - 74,500}{-2.3263} Calculate the numerator: 60,00074,500=14,50060,000 - 74,500 = -14,500 Divide by 2.3263-2.3263: σ=14,5002.3263=6234.1632miles\sigma = \frac{-14,500}{-2.3263} = 6234.1632 \, \text{miles}

Final Answer:

σ6234.1632miles\sigma \approx 6234.1632 \, \text{miles} The standard deviation should be set to approximately 6234.1632 miles.

Let me know if you'd like further clarification or additional assistance!


Follow-up Questions:

  1. What does the z-score represent in a normal distribution?
  2. How does adjusting the standard deviation affect the failure rate of tires?
  3. What other factors could impact the lifetime of these tires?
  4. Why is it important to round to multiple decimal places in such calculations?
  5. How would the answer change if the warranty mileage increased?

Tip: Always double-check cumulative probabilities when working with z-scores to ensure you’re interpreting the left and right tails correctly.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-scores
Probability

Formulas

z = (X - μ) / σ
Cumulative probability for normal distribution

Theorems

68-95-99.7 rule (Empirical rule)

Suitable Grade Level

College or advanced high school