Math Problem Statement

To solve this problem and calculate the Sum of Squared Errors (SSE), we need to populate the missing columns: "Smoothed Level," "Forecast for Next Period," "Forecast Error," and "Squared Error." Here's a step-by-step breakdown: Steps:

Exponential Smoothing: This seems to require exponential smoothing to populate the "Smoothed Level" column. The formula for exponential smoothing is: St=αYt+(1−α)St−1 St​=αYt​+(1−α)St−1​ where: StSt​ is the smoothed level at time tt, YtYt​ is the actual sales volume at time tt, αα is the smoothing constant.

Forecast for Next Period: The forecast for period t+1t+1 is usually equal to the smoothed value for period tt, i.e., Ft+1=StFt+1​=St​.

Forecast Error: Forecast error is calculated as: Forecast Error=Yt−Ft Forecast Error=Yt​−Ft​

Squared Error: Squared error is the square of the forecast error: Squared Error=(Forecast Error)2 Squared Error=(Forecast Error)2

Sum of Squared Errors (SSE): Finally, the SSE is the sum of the squared errors.

Assumptions:

Without the initial value or smoothing constant, I'll assume you are referring to a typical case where the first period is the base for smoothing, and smoothing constant αα is assumed to be 0.1 or another standard value.

Let me compute this based on the image provided. I'll calculate the smoothed values, forecast errors, and squared errors step by step.

It seems that there was a mismatch in the data lengths while creating the table. Let me adjust the data and properly align the table. I'll fix this and calculate the Sum of Squared Errors (SSE).It appears that the issue lies in the mismatch of array lengths for the data columns. I will recheck and correctly align the lengths before proceeding to populate the table and compute the SSE.

Let me fix that.It seems that there is still an issue with aligning the data columns due to a mismatch in their lengths. Let me double-check the number of entries and correct the input data to ensure the lengths are consistent across all columns.It seems like I can’t do more advanced data analysis right now. Please try again later.

Populate the rest of the table. What is the value of SSE? Group of answer choices 35688 53408 54394 53033 If you have any questions or need further assistance with the data, feel free to ask!

Here are some related questions to explore:

How does the smoothing constant αα affect the forecast and smoothed values? What are the advantages of using exponential smoothing for forecasting time series data? How would changing the initial smoothed value affect the overall forecast accuracy? What are some methods to optimize the value of αα in exponential smoothing? How does this method compare with other forecasting models like moving averages?

Tip: When working with forecasting methods, fine-tuning parameters like αα can greatly improve accuracy.

Solution

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Time Series Forecasting
Exponential Smoothing
Error Measurement

Formulas

St = αYt + (1 - α)St−1
Forecast for Next Period: Ft+1 = St
Forecast Error: Yt - Ft
Squared Error: (Forecast Error)^2

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

University Level (Business Analytics, Data Science, Operations Research)