Math Problem Statement

for the following data A) come up with a exponential regression model and state r & r^2 B) sketch the residuals of the exponential model v Day d Day d |4|13|18|21|25|30|40| Number n|90|68|56|54|48|38|26|

Solution

A) Exponential Regression Model:

The exponential regression model is:

n(d)=106.18e0.0341dn(d) = 106.18 \cdot e^{-0.0341 \cdot d}

Where:

  • a=106.18a = 106.18
  • b=0.0341b = -0.0341

The correlation coefficient r=0.996r = -0.996, indicating a very strong negative linear relationship between the natural log of nn and dd. The coefficient of determination r2=0.991r^2 = 0.991, meaning 99.1% of the variance in nn is explained by the model.

B) Residual Plot:

The residuals plot (displayed above) shows the difference between the actual values of nn and the values predicted by the exponential model, plotted against the days. Residuals are close to zero, suggesting the model fits the data well.


Would you like more details or have any questions about this?
Here are some additional related questions you might find helpful:

  1. How do you interpret the r2r^2 value in this context?
  2. What does the negative bb-value imply about the trend in the data?
  3. How could you assess if the exponential model is the best fit for the data?
  4. What are residuals, and why are they important in regression analysis?
  5. How do outliers affect the residuals and the overall model fit?

Tip: Always check the residuals plot when fitting a model—it helps assess how well the model captures the data trends.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Regression
Residual Analysis
Correlation Coefficient
Coefficient of Determination

Formulas

Exponential model: n(d) = a * e^(b * d)
Correlation coefficient: r
Coefficient of determination: r^2

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12 or College Level