Math Problem Statement

Postal Rates The table below shows the cost s, in

cents, of a domestic first-class postage stamp in the

United States t years after 1900. t= time, in years since 1900 19 32 58 71 78 85 95 102 109 116 s=cost of stamp 2 3 4 8 15 22 32 37 44 47 When the exponential expression is s=0.841 times (1.037)^t

b. What cost does your model give for a 1988

stamp? Report your answer to the nearest cent.

(The actual cost was 25 cents.)

c. Plot the data and the exponential model. Use the N=Pa^t formula for part b

Solution

We are given an exponential model s=0.841×(1.037)ts = 0.841 \times (1.037)^t, where ss represents the cost of a stamp in cents and tt represents the time in years since 1900.

Part b: Calculate the model cost for a stamp in 1988

In 1988, tt is the number of years since 1900: t=19881900=88t = 1988 - 1900 = 88

Substitute t=88t = 88 into the exponential model s=0.841×(1.037)ts = 0.841 \times (1.037)^t: s=0.841×(1.037)88s = 0.841 \times (1.037)^{88}

To calculate:

s=0.841×(1.037)880.841×14.24111.98s = 0.841 \times (1.037)^{88} \approx 0.841 \times 14.241 \approx 11.98

So, the model gives a cost of approximately 12 cents for a stamp in 1988 (when rounded to the nearest cent). The actual cost in 1988 was 25 cents.

Part c: Plot the data and the exponential model

To plot the data and the exponential model, we can:

  1. Plot the given data points (t,s)(t, s) from the table:

t={19,32,58,71,78,85,95,102,109,116}t = \{19, 32, 58, 71, 78, 85, 95, 102, 109, 116\} s={2,3,4,8,15,22,32,37,44,47}s = \{2, 3, 4, 8, 15, 22, 32, 37, 44, 47\}

  1. Overlay the exponential model s=0.841×(1.037)ts = 0.841 \times (1.037)^t for a range of tt values (e.g., 0 to 116).

Would you like me to plot the graph for you and provide more details?

Here are 5 related questions for further exploration:

  1. How would changing the base of the exponential function affect the predictions for future years?
  2. What would the model predict for the cost of a stamp in 2024?
  3. How does the difference between the model's prediction and actual data in 1988 suggest a need for a different model?
  4. How would a linear model compare to this exponential model for predicting stamp prices?
  5. What would the stamp price have been in 1950 according to the model?

Tip: Exponential models are particularly useful for representing growth that accelerates over time, such as inflation-adjusted costs.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Growth
Algebra
Mathematical Modeling

Formulas

Exponential Growth Model: s = 0.841 * (1.037)^t

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12