Math Problem Statement

Please help me solve this question

The density function of the time Z in minutes between calls to an electrical supply store is given by \( f(z) = \frac{1}{10} e^{-z/10}, \quad 0 < z < \infty \). (a) What is the probability that there are no calls within a 20-minute time interval? (b) What is the probability that the first call comes within 10 minutes of opening? (c) What is the cdf?

Solution

To solve this problem, let's go through each part step-by-step. The density function provided is:

f(z)=110ez/10,0<z<f(z) = \frac{1}{10} e^{-z/10}, \quad 0 < z < \infty

This is the probability density function (pdf) of an exponential distribution with a mean of 10 minutes, as we can recognize from the form λeλz\lambda e^{-\lambda z} where λ=110\lambda = \frac{1}{10}.

Part (a)

What is the probability that there are no calls within a 20-minute time interval?

For an exponential distribution, the probability that there are no calls within a given time tt is P(Z>t)P(Z > t), which can be calculated as:

P(Z>t)=1F(t)P(Z > t) = 1 - F(t)

where F(t)F(t) is the cumulative distribution function (CDF) for the exponential distribution. The CDF for an exponential distribution is:

F(t)=1eλtF(t) = 1 - e^{-\lambda t}

Thus:

P(Z>20)=e20/10=e2P(Z > 20) = e^{-20/10} = e^{-2}

Calculating this:

P(Z>20)0.1353P(Z > 20) \approx 0.1353

Part (b)

What is the probability that the first call comes within 10 minutes of opening?

Here, we want P(Z10)P(Z \leq 10), which is simply the CDF at z=10z = 10:

P(Z10)=F(10)=1e10/10=1e1P(Z \leq 10) = F(10) = 1 - e^{-10/10} = 1 - e^{-1}

Calculating this:

P(Z10)10.3679=0.6321P(Z \leq 10) \approx 1 - 0.3679 = 0.6321

Part (c)

What is the CDF?

As derived earlier, the cumulative distribution function F(z)F(z) for the exponential distribution with λ=110\lambda = \frac{1}{10} is:

F(z)=1ez/10F(z) = 1 - e^{-z/10}

This function gives the probability that a call will occur within zz minutes.


Let me know if you need further clarification on any part of this solution.

Related Questions

  1. What is the expected value of the time between calls in this scenario?
  2. How would you calculate the variance of the time between calls?
  3. How would you determine the probability of getting at least two calls within 15 minutes?
  4. If the rate parameter changed, how would that affect the probability calculations?
  5. How could this model be adapted if calls occurred at different rates throughout the day?

Tip

For exponential distributions, remember that the mean is the reciprocal of the rate parameter (λ\lambda), and it's memoryless—meaning the probability of waiting an additional time is independent of how much time has already passed.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Exponential Distribution
Probability Density Function (PDF)
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)

Formulas

PDF of Exponential Distribution: f(z) = \lambda e^{-\lambda z}
CDF of Exponential Distribution: F(z) = 1 - e^{-\lambda z}
Probability of an event not occurring within a time interval: P(Z > t) = e^{-\lambda t}

Theorems

Exponential Distribution Properties

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Level