Math Problem Statement
The spinner on a wheel of fortune can land with an equal chance on any one of ten regions. Three regions are red, four are blue, two are yellow, and one is green. A player wins
$ 1$1
if the spinner stops on red and
$ 5$5
if it stops on green. The player loses
$ 1$1
if it stops on blue and
$ 2$2
if it stops on yellow.
Question content area bottom
Part 1
a.
What is the expected value?
$0.000.00
(Round to the nearest cent.)
Part 2
b. What does this value mean if the game is played ten times?
A.
More than 10 games need to be played for the expected value to be a reasonable estimate of expected winnings.
B.
Over 10 games, the player can expect to break even.
C.
Over 10 games, the player can expect to lose money.
D.
Over 10 games, the player can expect to win money.
Solution
To solve this problem, we will first calculate the expected value of a single game by considering the probability and outcome of each possible event. Then, we'll interpret this value in the context of playing ten games.
Part 1: Expected Value Calculation
The expected value can be calculated using the formula:
where:
- is the probability of the outcome ,
- is the outcome (monetary value) for that event.
Step 1: List the outcomes and their probabilities:
-
Red:
- Probability:
- Outcome: +$1
-
Blue:
- Probability:
- Outcome: -$1
-
Yellow:
- Probability:
- Outcome: -$2
-
Green:
- Probability:
- Outcome: +$5
Step 2: Calculate the expected value :
Final Answer for Part 1:
The expected value is $0.00 (after rounding to the nearest cent).
Part 2: Interpretation Over 10 Games
Since the expected value for one game is $0.00, over 10 games, the player can expect to break even on average. Therefore, the correct interpretation is:
B. Over 10 games, the player can expect to break even.
Questions:
- What would the expected value be if the spinner had more red regions?
- How would the expected value change if the payout for landing on green increased?
- What is the expected value if all regions had equal payouts but different probabilities?
- How does the variance in outcomes affect the reliability of the expected value?
- How would the expected value change if there were more regions and outcomes?
Tip: When calculating expected values, consider both the probabilities and the outcomes—they determine whether the game is fair, favorable, or unfavorable.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Expected Value
Formulas
E(X) = Σ [P(x_i) * x_i]
Theorems
Law of Large Numbers
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12