Math Problem Statement
Solution
To solve this problem, we need to calculate the expected value of Milan's game based on the outcomes and probabilities.
Step-by-Step Solution:
(a) Find the expected value of playing the game
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Outcomes and payouts:
- $1 for number 1.
- $3 for number 2.
- $5 for number 3.
- $7 for number 4.
- -$8 (loss) for numbers 5 and 6.
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Probabilities:
- Since the spinner is fair with 6 equal-sized slices, each outcome has a probability of .
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Expected value formula: The expected value is calculated as:
Substitute the values:
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Simplify:
The expected value of playing the game is $0.
(b) What can Milan expect in the long run?
Since the expected value is , this means that Milan can expect to break even in the long run, neither gaining nor losing money on average.
Final Answers:
- (a) Expected value = dollars.
- (b) Milan can expect to break even (neither gain nor lose money).
Would you like to explore any details or additional explanations?
Here are 5 related questions for practice:
- What is the interpretation of the expected value in probability?
- How does changing one payout affect the expected value?
- If the spinner is biased, how would the expected value change?
- What is the variance and standard deviation of this game?
- How can we verify if the game is fair using simulations?
Tip: When calculating expected value, always multiply each outcome by its probability before summing!
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability
Expected Value
Formulas
Expected Value Formula: E(X) = Σ (payout × probability)
Theorems
Law of Total Probability
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 7-9