Math Problem Statement

Let X be a random variable representing the number of trials before the first success in a Bernoulli experiment with probability of success p = 1/2. Calculate E(1/2^X).

Solution

The problem provided describes a geometric random variable XX, representing the number of trials before the first success in a Bernoulli experiment, where the probability of success is p=12p = \frac{1}{2}.

The question asks to calculate E(12X)\mathbb{E}\left(\frac{1}{2^X}\right), i.e., the expected value of 12X\frac{1}{2^X}.

Solution:

  1. Geometric distribution properties: The probability mass function (PMF) of a geometric random variable XX is given by: P(X=k)=(1p)k1pfork=1,2,3,P(X = k) = (1 - p)^{k-1} p \quad \text{for} \quad k = 1, 2, 3, \ldots In this case, since p=12p = \frac{1}{2}, the PMF becomes: P(X=k)=(12)k112=12kfork=1,2,3,P(X = k) = \left( \frac{1}{2} \right)^{k-1} \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2^k} \quad \text{for} \quad k = 1, 2, 3, \ldots

  2. Expected value calculation: We need to compute E(12X)\mathbb{E}\left( \frac{1}{2^X} \right), which is: E(12X)=k=112kP(X=k)\mathbb{E}\left( \frac{1}{2^X} \right) = \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \frac{1}{2^k} P(X = k) Substituting P(X=k)=12kP(X = k) = \frac{1}{2^k}: E(12X)=k=112k12k=k=114k\mathbb{E}\left( \frac{1}{2^X} \right) = \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \frac{1}{2^k} \cdot \frac{1}{2^k} = \sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \frac{1}{4^k}

  3. Sum of a geometric series: The series k=114k\sum_{k=1}^{\infty} \frac{1}{4^k} is a geometric series with the first term a=14a = \frac{1}{4} and the common ratio r=14r = \frac{1}{4}. The sum of an infinite geometric series is given by: S=a1rS = \frac{a}{1 - r} Substituting a=14a = \frac{1}{4} and r=14r = \frac{1}{4}: S=14114=1434=13S = \frac{\frac{1}{4}}{1 - \frac{1}{4}} = \frac{\frac{1}{4}}{\frac{3}{4}} = \frac{1}{3}

Thus, the expected value E(12X)=13\mathbb{E}\left( \frac{1}{2^X} \right) = \frac{1}{3}.


Would you like further details or have any questions? Here are some related topics you could explore:

  1. How is the geometric distribution used in modeling waiting times?
  2. How does the sum of an infinite geometric series converge?
  3. What is the difference between geometric and binomial distributions?
  4. How would the result change if the probability pp were different?
  5. How is the expectation formula for geometric random variables derived?

Tip: Understanding geometric series is crucial for solving many probability problems involving infinite sums.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Geometric Distribution
Expected Value
Infinite Geometric Series

Formulas

Probability Mass Function of Geometric Distribution: P(X = k) = (1 - p)^{k-1}p
Expected Value of a Geometric Series: E(1/2^X) = Σ(1/2^k * P(X = k))
Sum of Infinite Geometric Series: S = a / (1 - r)

Theorems

Geometric Series Sum Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Probability and Statistics)