Math Problem Statement

Becca plays a game in which she can purchase a ticket, and each ticket has several chances, or "catches," to win money.

The table below shows the probability of winning at each stage, and how much money the ticket can win at each catch. Every time Becca plays the game, her ticket is played through each catch, which means she can win money at each stage.

Catch

Probability

Winnings

Catch 0

40%

$1

Catch 1

45%

$5

Catch 2

12%

$10

Catch 3

3%

$25

Given the probabilities and payout values in this table, what is the expected value of Becca's ticket?

A.)

$4.60

B.)

$1.20

C.)

$10.25

D.)

$41.00

Solution

The expected value (EV) of Becca's ticket can be found using the formula:

EV=(Pi×Wi)EV = \sum (P_i \times W_i)

where PiP_i is the probability of winning at each catch, and WiW_i is the winnings for that catch.

Using the given values:

EV=(0.40×1)+(0.45×5)+(0.12×10)+(0.03×25)EV = (0.40 \times 1) + (0.45 \times 5) + (0.12 \times 10) + (0.03 \times 25)

Calculating each term:

0.40×1=0.400.40 \times 1 = 0.40 0.45×5=2.250.45 \times 5 = 2.25 0.12×10=1.200.12 \times 10 = 1.20 0.03×25=0.750.03 \times 25 = 0.75

Summing up:

0.40+2.25+1.20+0.75=4.600.40 + 2.25 + 1.20 + 0.75 = 4.60

Thus, the expected value of Becca's ticket is $4.60$.

Correct Answer: A.) $4.60$

Would you like me to explain expected value in more detail?

Related Questions:

  1. What is the probability that Becca wins at least one prize?
  2. How would the expected value change if the payouts were doubled?
  3. What is the probability that Becca wins nothing at all?
  4. How does increasing the number of catches affect the expected value?
  5. How would a $2 ticket cost impact the net expected value of playing?

Tip:

Expected value helps in decision-making for games, investments, and risk assessment. If the ticket cost is higher than the expected value, it's generally not a good bet!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Expected Value

Formulas

EV = Σ (P_i × W_i)

Theorems

Expected Value Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12