Math Problem Statement

(Expected rate of return and​ risk) ​ Syntex, Inc. is considering an investment in one of two common stocks. Given the information that​ follows, which investment is​ better, based on the risk​ (as measured by the standard​ deviation) and​ return?

Common Stock A             

Common Stock B             

Probability

Return

Probability

Return

0.350.35

1212​%

0.150.15

negative 4−4​%

0.300.30

1616​%

0.350.35

88​%

0.350.35

2121​%

0.350.35

1313​%

0.150.15

2121​%

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Question content area bottom

Part 1

a.  Given the information in the​ table, the expected rate of return for stock A is

16.3516.35​%.

​(Round to two decimal​ places.)

Part 2

The standard deviation of stock A is

3.773.77​%.

​(Round to two decimal​ places.)

Part 3

b.  The expected rate of return for stock B is

enter your response here​%.

​(Round to two decimal​ places.)

Solution

To calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for Common Stock B, we can use the following steps. These steps involve calculating the weighted average return (expected rate of return) and standard deviation based on the probabilities provided.

1. Expected Rate of Return (Stock B):

The expected return is calculated as the sum of the probability-weighted returns.

The formula for the expected return E(R)E(R) is:

E(R)=(Pi×Ri)E(R) = \sum (P_i \times R_i)

Where:

  • PiP_i is the probability of each return
  • RiR_i is the return

For Common Stock B, we have:

  • P1=0.15P_1 = 0.15, R1=4%R_1 = -4\%
  • P2=0.35P_2 = 0.35, R2=8%R_2 = 8\%
  • P3=0.35P_3 = 0.35, R3=13%R_3 = 13\%
  • P4=0.15P_4 = 0.15, R4=21%R_4 = 21\%

Let's plug in these values:

E(R)=(0.15×(4))+(0.35×8)+(0.35×13)+(0.15×21)E(R) = (0.15 \times (-4)) + (0.35 \times 8) + (0.35 \times 13) + (0.15 \times 21)

Calculating each term: E(R)=(0.15×4)+(0.35×8)+(0.35×13)+(0.15×21)E(R) = (0.15 \times -4) + (0.35 \times 8) + (0.35 \times 13) + (0.15 \times 21) E(R)=0.60+2.8+4.55+3.15=9.9%E(R) = -0.60 + 2.8 + 4.55 + 3.15 = 9.9\%

So, the expected rate of return for Stock B is 9.90%.

2. Standard Deviation (Stock B):

To calculate the standard deviation, we need to compute the variance first. The formula for variance is:

σ2=Pi×(RiE(R))2\sigma^2 = \sum P_i \times (R_i - E(R))^2

Where:

  • PiP_i is the probability of each return
  • RiR_i is the return
  • E(R)E(R) is the expected return we calculated above

Let's calculate each term (RiE(R))2(R_i - E(R))^2 and multiply by the respective probabilities:

For R1=4%R_1 = -4\%: P1×(R19.9)2=0.15×(49.9)2=0.15×(13.9)2=0.15×193.21=28.9815P_1 \times (R_1 - 9.9)^2 = 0.15 \times (-4 - 9.9)^2 = 0.15 \times (-13.9)^2 = 0.15 \times 193.21 = 28.9815

For R2=8%R_2 = 8\%: P2×(R29.9)2=0.35×(89.9)2=0.35×(1.9)2=0.35×3.61=1.2635P_2 \times (R_2 - 9.9)^2 = 0.35 \times (8 - 9.9)^2 = 0.35 \times (-1.9)^2 = 0.35 \times 3.61 = 1.2635

For R3=13%R_3 = 13\%: P3×(R39.9)2=0.35×(139.9)2=0.35×3.12=0.35×9.61=3.3635P_3 \times (R_3 - 9.9)^2 = 0.35 \times (13 - 9.9)^2 = 0.35 \times 3.1^2 = 0.35 \times 9.61 = 3.3635

For R4=21%R_4 = 21\%: P4×(R49.9)2=0.15×(219.9)2=0.15×11.12=0.15×123.21=18.4815P_4 \times (R_4 - 9.9)^2 = 0.15 \times (21 - 9.9)^2 = 0.15 \times 11.1^2 = 0.15 \times 123.21 = 18.4815

Now, sum up these values to get the variance: σ2=28.9815+1.2635+3.3635+18.4815=52.09\sigma^2 = 28.9815 + 1.2635 + 3.3635 + 18.4815 = 52.09

To find the standard deviation, take the square root of the variance:

σ=52.097.22%\sigma = \sqrt{52.09} \approx 7.22\%

So, the standard deviation for Stock B is approximately 7.22%.

Summary:

  • The expected rate of return for Stock B is 9.90%.
  • The standard deviation (risk) for Stock B is 7.22%.

Let me know if you would like further details or have any questions!

Here are 5 related questions:

  1. How is the risk-return tradeoff evaluated in stock investments?
  2. What does the standard deviation of returns indicate about investment risk?
  3. How does expected return influence investment decisions?
  4. How do we interpret negative returns in the context of risk and reward?
  5. What are other measures of risk besides standard deviation?

Tip: When choosing between investments, higher returns usually come with higher risk. Evaluate your risk tolerance when making decisions.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Expected Rate of Return
Standard Deviation
Probability

Formulas

Expected Rate of Return (E(R)) = Σ (P_i × R_i)
Variance (σ^2) = Σ P_i × (R_i - E(R))^2
Standard Deviation (σ) = √Variance

Theorems

-

Suitable Grade Level

College-level or Advanced High School