Math Problem Statement

Suppose you wish to estimate the difference between the mean acidity for rainfalls at two different locations, one in a relatively unpolluted area and the other in an area subject to heavy air pollution. If you wish your estimate to be correct to the nearest 0.1 pH, with probability near 0.90, approximately how many rainfalls (pH values) would have to be included in each sample? (Assume that the variance of the pH measurements is approximately 0.35 at both locations and that the samples will be of equal size. Round your answer up to the nearest whole number.) n1 = n2 =  rainfalls

Solution

To determine the required sample size for each location, we use the formula for the margin of error in estimating the difference between two means:

ME=zα/2×2σ2nME = z_{\alpha/2} \times \sqrt{\frac{2\sigma^2}{n}}

where:

  • MEME is the margin of error (0.1 pH in this case),
  • zα/2z_{\alpha/2} is the critical z-score corresponding to a 90% confidence level (which is 1.645),
  • σ2\sigma^2 is the variance (given as 0.35),
  • nn is the sample size per group.

Step 1: Solve for nn

0.1=1.645×2(0.35)n0.1 = 1.645 \times \sqrt{\frac{2(0.35)}{n}}

Step 2: Square both sides

(0.1)2=(1.645)2×2(0.35)n(0.1)^2 = (1.645)^2 \times \frac{2(0.35)}{n}

0.01=2.706×0.7n0.01 = 2.706 \times \frac{0.7}{n}

0.01=1.8942n0.01 = \frac{1.8942}{n}

Step 3: Solve for nn

n=1.89420.01=189.42n = \frac{1.8942}{0.01} = 189.42

Since we always round up to the next whole number:

n=190n = 190

Thus, the required sample size for each location is 190 rainfalls.


Would you like a breakdown of any step? Here are some related questions:

  1. How do we determine the critical z-score for different confidence levels?
  2. What happens if the variances at the two locations are different?
  3. How does increasing the confidence level affect the sample size?
  4. Why do we round up the sample size instead of rounding to the nearest integer?
  5. What are the implications of assuming equal variance in real-world studies?

Tip: If the confidence level were 95% instead of 90%, you would need a larger sample size because a higher confidence level requires a wider margin.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Sample Size Calculation

Formulas

Margin of Error formula: ME = z_{\alpha/2} \times \sqrt{\frac{2\sigma^2}{n}}

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Confidence Interval for Difference of Means

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12