Math Problem Statement
A survey of 300 union members in New York State reveals that 112 favor the Republican candidate for governor. Construct a 90% confidence interval for the percentage of all New York State union members who favor the Republican candidate.
Question 8 options:
(30.1%, 44.5%)
(32.7%, 41.9%)
(31.9%, 42.8%)
(26.7%, 47.9%)
(17.8%, 56.8%)
Solution
To construct a 90% confidence interval for the percentage of New York State union members who favor the Republican candidate, we will use the formula for the confidence interval of a proportion.
Step-by-Step Solution:
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Sample Proportion ():
- The sample size () is 300.
- The number of union members who favor the Republican candidate is 112.
The sample proportion is:
-
Critical Value for 90% Confidence Level: The critical value () for a 90% confidence interval can be found from the standard normal distribution. For a 90% confidence level, .
-
Standard Error (SE) of the Proportion: The standard error is given by:
-
Confidence Interval Formula: The confidence interval is calculated as:
Substituting the values:
-
Resulting Confidence Interval: 0.3733 - 0.0459 = 0.3274 \quad \text{(32.7%)} 0.3733 + 0.0459 = 0.4192 \quad \text{(41.9%)}
Therefore, the 90% confidence interval for the percentage of New York State union members who favor the Republican candidate is (32.7%, 41.9%).
The correct option is:
(32.7%, 41.9%)
Would you like more details on any part of the calculation or the reasoning behind confidence intervals?
Here are 5 related questions to consider:
- How would the confidence interval change if the sample size were larger?
- What happens to the confidence interval if the confidence level is increased to 95%?
- Why is the normal distribution used to approximate proportions in large samples?
- How does the margin of error affect the width of the confidence interval?
- What is the significance of a confidence interval in statistical decision-making?
Tip: A larger sample size decreases the standard error, leading to a narrower confidence interval.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Proportions
Formulas
Sample Proportion: p̂ = x/n
Standard Error of a Proportion: SE = sqrt(p̂(1 - p̂) / n)
Confidence Interval: p̂ ± z * SE
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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