Math Problem Statement

In a recent poll, 400 people were randomly sampled, and 77% said they liked dogs. Use the Theory-Based Inference applet to find a 95% confidence interval for the true population proportion of people who like dogs, π .

(a) We are 95% confident that the proportion of all people who like dogs is between

% and % Give your percentage answers rounded to one decimal place. For example, if the applet gives (0.34218, 0.61352) then you would enter 34.2 and 61.4.

(b) The sample statistic is . Give your answer as a decimal (NOT a percentage), and do not round.

(c) The margin of error is . Give your answer as a decimal using your answers form parts (a) and (b).

(d) The confidence interval from part (c) can be written as

±

Give your answers as decimals (NOT percentages), and do not round.

Solution

To solve this problem, let's break down each part using the information provided.

Given:

  • Sample size, n=400n = 400
  • Sample proportion, p^=0.77\hat{p} = 0.77 (or 77% who like dogs)
  • Confidence level, 95%95\%

The Theory-Based Inference applet typically uses the standard normal distribution for calculating the confidence interval for a proportion.

Step-by-Step Solution:

Part (a): Confidence Interval Calculation

The formula for a 95% confidence interval for a proportion pp is:

p^±zp^(1p^)n\hat{p} \pm z \cdot \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{n}}

Where:

  • p^=0.77\hat{p} = 0.77
  • z=1.96z = 1.96 for a 95% confidence level (from the standard normal table)
  • n=400n = 400

Let's calculate the margin of error first:

Margin of Error=1.960.77×(10.77)400\text{Margin of Error} = 1.96 \cdot \sqrt{\frac{0.77 \times (1 - 0.77)}{400}}

Calculating the term inside the square root:

0.77×0.234000.0203\sqrt{\frac{0.77 \times 0.23}{400}} \approx 0.0203

Then:

Margin of Error=1.96×0.02030.0398\text{Margin of Error} = 1.96 \times 0.0203 \approx 0.0398

Now, the confidence interval is:

0.77±0.03980.77 \pm 0.0398

So:

  • Lower limit = 0.770.03980.73020.77 - 0.0398 \approx 0.7302
  • Upper limit = 0.77+0.03980.80980.77 + 0.0398 \approx 0.8098

To express this in percentage terms:

  • Lower limit: 73.0%73.0\%
  • Upper limit: 81.0%81.0\%

Answer for part (a): We are 95% confident that the proportion of all people who like dogs is between 73.0% and 81.0%.


Part (b): The Sample Statistic

The sample statistic is simply the sample proportion p^\hat{p}.

Answer for part (b): p^=0.77\hat{p} = 0.77


Part (c): Margin of Error

We've already calculated the margin of error in part (a) as part of the confidence interval calculation.

Answer for part (c): The margin of error is 0.03980.0398.


Part (d): Confidence Interval as p^±Margin of Error\hat{p} \pm \text{Margin of Error}

Using the values from parts (b) and (c):

Answer for part (d): The confidence interval can be written as 0.77±0.03980.77 \pm 0.0398.


Summary of Answers:

  • (a) 95% confidence interval for the proportion: 73.0% and 81.0%
  • (b) Sample statistic: 0.77
  • (c) Margin of error: 0.0398
  • (d) Confidence interval in form p^±Margin of Error\hat{p} \pm \text{Margin of Error}: 0.77 ± 0.0398

Would you like more details on any step? Here are some related questions:

  1. What is the significance of the 95% confidence level?
  2. How would the confidence interval change if the sample size were larger?
  3. What is the purpose of the margin of error in a confidence interval?
  4. Why is a z-value of 1.96 used for a 95% confidence level?
  5. How would you interpret the confidence interval in practical terms?

Tip: When calculating confidence intervals, always check that sample sizes are large enough for the approximation (using the rule of thumb np10np \geq 10 and n(1p)10n(1 - p) \geq 10).

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Proportions
Margin of Error

Formulas

Confidence Interval for Proportion: p̂ ± z * sqrt[(p̂ * (1 - p̂)) / n]
Margin of Error: z * sqrt[(p̂ * (1 - p̂)) / n]

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12