Math Problem Statement
In a recent poll, 400 people were randomly sampled, and 77% said they liked dogs. Use the Theory-Based Inference applet to find a 95% confidence interval for the true population proportion of people who like dogs, π .
(a) We are 95% confident that the proportion of all people who like dogs is between
% and % Give your percentage answers rounded to one decimal place. For example, if the applet gives (0.34218, 0.61352) then you would enter 34.2 and 61.4.
(b) The sample statistic is . Give your answer as a decimal (NOT a percentage), and do not round.
(c) The margin of error is . Give your answer as a decimal using your answers form parts (a) and (b).
(d) The confidence interval from part (c) can be written as
±
Give your answers as decimals (NOT percentages), and do not round.
Solution
To solve this problem, let's break down each part using the information provided.
Given:
- Sample size,
- Sample proportion, (or 77% who like dogs)
- Confidence level,
The Theory-Based Inference applet typically uses the standard normal distribution for calculating the confidence interval for a proportion.
Step-by-Step Solution:
Part (a): Confidence Interval Calculation
The formula for a 95% confidence interval for a proportion is:
Where:
- for a 95% confidence level (from the standard normal table)
Let's calculate the margin of error first:
Calculating the term inside the square root:
Then:
Now, the confidence interval is:
So:
- Lower limit =
- Upper limit =
To express this in percentage terms:
- Lower limit:
- Upper limit:
Answer for part (a): We are 95% confident that the proportion of all people who like dogs is between 73.0% and 81.0%.
Part (b): The Sample Statistic
The sample statistic is simply the sample proportion .
Answer for part (b):
Part (c): Margin of Error
We've already calculated the margin of error in part (a) as part of the confidence interval calculation.
Answer for part (c): The margin of error is .
Part (d): Confidence Interval as
Using the values from parts (b) and (c):
Answer for part (d): The confidence interval can be written as .
Summary of Answers:
- (a) 95% confidence interval for the proportion: 73.0% and 81.0%
- (b) Sample statistic: 0.77
- (c) Margin of error: 0.0398
- (d) Confidence interval in form : 0.77 ± 0.0398
Would you like more details on any step? Here are some related questions:
- What is the significance of the 95% confidence level?
- How would the confidence interval change if the sample size were larger?
- What is the purpose of the margin of error in a confidence interval?
- Why is a z-value of 1.96 used for a 95% confidence level?
- How would you interpret the confidence interval in practical terms?
Tip: When calculating confidence intervals, always check that sample sizes are large enough for the approximation (using the rule of thumb and ).
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Proportions
Margin of Error
Formulas
Confidence Interval for Proportion: p̂ ± z * sqrt[(p̂ * (1 - p̂)) / n]
Margin of Error: z * sqrt[(p̂ * (1 - p̂)) / n]
Theorems
Central Limit Theorem
Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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