Math Problem Statement

A random sample of nequals=99 values taken from a normally distributed population with a population variance of 3636 resulted in the sample values shown below. Use the sample values to construct a 9595​% confidence interval estimate for the population mean. 5454 4646 5454 4545 4343 5151 4646 6161 4848

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Solution

To calculate a 95% confidence interval for the population mean based on the sample values, we can follow these steps:

Given information:

  • Sample size n=9n = 9 (since 9 values are provided)
  • Population variance σ2=3636\sigma^2 = 3636
  • The sample values are: 54,46,54,45,43,51,46,61,4854, 46, 54, 45, 43, 51, 46, 61, 48
  • Confidence level = 95%

Steps:

  1. Calculate the sample mean xˉ\bar{x}: xˉ=54+46+54+45+43+51+46+61+489\bar{x} = \frac{54 + 46 + 54 + 45 + 43 + 51 + 46 + 61 + 48}{9}

  2. Calculate the population standard deviation σ\sigma: σ=3636\sigma = \sqrt{3636}

  3. Find the critical value Zα/2Z_{\alpha/2} for a 95% confidence interval:
    For a 95% confidence level, the critical value Zα/2Z_{\alpha/2} from the standard normal distribution is approximately 1.96.

  4. Calculate the margin of error EE: E=Zα/2×σnE = Z_{\alpha/2} \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

  5. Construct the confidence interval:
    The 95% confidence interval is given by: xˉEtoxˉ+E\bar{x} - E \quad \text{to} \quad \bar{x} + E

Now let's compute the result step-by-step.

Step 1: Calculate the sample mean xˉ\bar{x}:

xˉ=54+46+54+45+43+51+46+61+489=448949.78\bar{x} = \frac{54 + 46 + 54 + 45 + 43 + 51 + 46 + 61 + 48}{9} = \frac{448}{9} \approx 49.78

Step 2: Calculate the population standard deviation σ\sigma:

σ=363660.30\sigma = \sqrt{3636} \approx 60.30

Step 3: Critical value Zα/2Z_{\alpha/2}:

For a 95% confidence level, the critical value Zα/21.96Z_{\alpha/2} \approx 1.96.

Step 4: Calculate the margin of error EE:

E=1.96×60.309=1.96×60.303=1.96×20.1039.39E = 1.96 \times \frac{60.30}{\sqrt{9}} = 1.96 \times \frac{60.30}{3} = 1.96 \times 20.10 \approx 39.39

Step 5: Construct the confidence interval:

Confidence interval=(49.7839.39,49.78+39.39)=(10.39,89.17)\text{Confidence interval} = (49.78 - 39.39, 49.78 + 39.39) = (10.39, 89.17)

Conclusion:

The 95% confidence interval estimate for the population mean is approximately: (10.39,89.17)(10.39, 89.17)

Would you like any more details or have questions?


Here are 5 related questions to further your understanding:

  1. How does increasing the confidence level affect the width of the confidence interval?
  2. What is the effect of a larger sample size on the confidence interval?
  3. Can you explain the role of the population variance in determining the margin of error?
  4. Why do we use the ZZ-score for a normal population when the population variance is known?
  5. How would the confidence interval change if the population variance were smaller?

Tip: A larger sample size decreases the margin of error, resulting in a narrower confidence interval.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Normal Distribution

Formulas

Sample Mean: \( \bar{x} = \frac{\sum x_i}{n} \)
Population Standard Deviation: \( \sigma = \sqrt{\sigma^2} \)
Margin of Error: \( E = Z_{\alpha/2} \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \)
Confidence Interval: \( \bar{x} - E \leq \mu \leq \bar{x} + E \)

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
Z-distribution for Confidence Intervals

Suitable Grade Level

College/University Statistics