Math Problem Statement

      I.        Confidence interval:

       II.            Standard error (SE):

     III.            Z-values:

Confidence level

z-value

90%

1.64

95%

1.96

99%

2.58   1.       We measured the heights of 100 Guyanese men. The mean height of men in the sample is 71 inches, with a standard deviation of 2.8 inches. Construct a

a.       90% confidence interval for the height of Guyanese men.

b.       95% confidence interval for the height of Guyanese men.

c.       99% confidence interval for the height of Guyanese men.

2.       A study was done to measure the time taken to complete tax forms. 100 people were surveyed, and a mean time of 23.6 hours was found to be needed to complete tax forms, with a standard deviation of 7.0 hours. Assume the underlying population is normally distributed. Calculate:

a.       A 90% confidence interval for the time taken to complete tax forms

b.       A 95% confidence interval for the time taken to complete tax forms

c.       A 99% confidence interval for the time taken to complete tax forms

Solution

To solve these problems, we need to construct confidence intervals based on the given data. The formula for constructing a confidence interval is:

CI=Xˉ±Z×SnCI = \bar{X} \pm Z \times \frac{S}{\sqrt{n}}

Where:

  • Xˉ\bar{X} is the sample mean,
  • ZZ is the z-value associated with the confidence level,
  • SS is the sample standard deviation,
  • nn is the sample size,
  • Sn\frac{S}{\sqrt{n}} is the standard error (SE).

Let's solve each part of the question.

Problem 1: Heights of Guyanese Men

Given:

  • Sample size n=100n = 100,
  • Sample mean Xˉ=71\bar{X} = 71 inches,
  • Sample standard deviation S=2.8S = 2.8 inches.

a. 90% Confidence Interval

For 90% confidence, Z=1.64Z = 1.64.

The standard error SESE is: SE=Sn=2.8100=0.28SE = \frac{S}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{2.8}{\sqrt{100}} = 0.28

Now, compute the confidence interval: CI=71±1.64×0.28CI = 71 \pm 1.64 \times 0.28 CI=71±0.4592CI = 71 \pm 0.4592 CI=(70.5408,71.4592)CI = (70.5408, 71.4592)

So, the 90% confidence interval is approximately (70.54,71.46)(70.54, 71.46).

b. 95% Confidence Interval

For 95% confidence, Z=1.96Z = 1.96.

Now, compute the confidence interval: CI=71±1.96×0.28CI = 71 \pm 1.96 \times 0.28 CI=71±0.5488CI = 71 \pm 0.5488 CI=(70.4512,71.5488)CI = (70.4512, 71.5488)

So, the 95% confidence interval is approximately (70.45,71.55)(70.45, 71.55).

c. 99% Confidence Interval

For 99% confidence, Z=2.58Z = 2.58.

Now, compute the confidence interval: CI=71±2.58×0.28CI = 71 \pm 2.58 \times 0.28 CI=71±0.7224CI = 71 \pm 0.7224 CI=(70.2776,71.7224)CI = (70.2776, 71.7224)

So, the 99% confidence interval is approximately (70.28,71.72)(70.28, 71.72).


Problem 2: Time to Complete Tax Forms

Given:

  • Sample size n=100n = 100,
  • Sample mean Xˉ=23.6\bar{X} = 23.6 hours,
  • Sample standard deviation S=7.0S = 7.0 hours.

a. 90% Confidence Interval

For 90% confidence, Z=1.64Z = 1.64.

The standard error SESE is: SE=Sn=7.0100=0.7SE = \frac{S}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{7.0}{\sqrt{100}} = 0.7

Now, compute the confidence interval: CI=23.6±1.64×0.7CI = 23.6 \pm 1.64 \times 0.7 CI=23.6±1.148CI = 23.6 \pm 1.148 CI=(22.452,24.748)CI = (22.452, 24.748)

So, the 90% confidence interval is approximately (22.45,24.75)(22.45, 24.75).

b. 95% Confidence Interval

For 95% confidence, Z=1.96Z = 1.96.

Now, compute the confidence interval: CI=23.6±1.96×0.7CI = 23.6 \pm 1.96 \times 0.7 CI=23.6±1.372CI = 23.6 \pm 1.372 CI=(22.228,24.972)CI = (22.228, 24.972)

So, the 95% confidence interval is approximately (22.23,24.97)(22.23, 24.97).

c. 99% Confidence Interval

For 99% confidence, Z=2.58Z = 2.58.

Now, compute the confidence interval: CI=23.6±2.58×0.7CI = 23.6 \pm 2.58 \times 0.7 CI=23.6±1.806CI = 23.6 \pm 1.806 CI=(21.794,25.406)CI = (21.794, 25.406)

So, the 99% confidence interval is approximately (21.79,25.41)(21.79, 25.41).


Summary:

  1. 90% CI for heights: (70.54,71.46)(70.54, 71.46)
  2. 95% CI for heights: (70.45,71.55)(70.45, 71.55)
  3. 99% CI for heights: (70.28,71.72)(70.28, 71.72)
  4. 90% CI for tax form time: (22.45,24.75)(22.45, 24.75)
  5. 95% CI for tax form time: (22.23,24.97)(22.23, 24.97)
  6. 99% CI for tax form time: (21.79,25.41)(21.79, 25.41)

Would you like further explanation on any of these calculations?


Follow-up Questions:

  1. What does a confidence interval tell us about the population?
  2. How does increasing the confidence level affect the width of the interval?
  3. How does sample size influence the standard error and confidence interval?
  4. What assumptions are necessary for constructing these confidence intervals?
  5. Why do we use the z-value and how is it related to the normal distribution?

Tip: Increasing the confidence level widens the interval, because we need to account for more variability to be more certain.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Standard Error
Z-Values

Formulas

Confidence Interval: CI = X̄ ± Z * (S / √n)
Standard Error: SE = S / √n

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics or AP Statistics