Math Problem Statement

You are interested in purchasing a new car. One of the many points you wish to consider is the resale value of the car after 5 years of ownership. Since you are particularly interested in a certain foreign sedan, you decide to estimate the resale value of this car with a 99% confidence interval. You manage to obtain data on 17 recently resold 5 year old foreign sedans of that model. These 17 cars were resold at an average price of $12,800 with a standard deviation of $600. What is the correct form of a 99% confidence interval for the true mean resale value of a 5 year old specific foreign sedan?

Solution

To compute the 99% confidence interval for the true mean resale value of the sedan, we use the formula for the confidence interval when the population standard deviation is unknown, and the sample size is small (n<30n < 30). This involves the t-distribution.

The formula for the confidence interval is:

xˉ±tsn\bar{x} \pm t^* \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}

Where:

  • xˉ=12,800\bar{x} = 12,800 (sample mean resale value),
  • s=600s = 600 (sample standard deviation),
  • n=17n = 17 (sample size),
  • tt^* is the critical value from the t-distribution for n1=16n-1 = 16 degrees of freedom and a 99% confidence level.

Step 1: Find tt^*

Using a t-table or calculator, for 16 degrees of freedom and a 99% confidence level (two-tailed test, so α=0.01\alpha = 0.01), t2.921t^* \approx 2.921.

Step 2: Compute the standard error

The standard error of the mean is: SE=sn=600176004.123145.53SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{600}{\sqrt{17}} \approx \frac{600}{4.123} \approx 145.53

Step 3: Compute the margin of error

The margin of error is: ME=tSE=2.921145.53424.92ME = t^* \cdot SE = 2.921 \cdot 145.53 \approx 424.92

Step 4: Calculate the confidence interval

The confidence interval is: xˉ±ME=12,800±424.92\bar{x} \pm ME = 12,800 \pm 424.92

Thus, the 99% confidence interval is approximately: (12,375.08,13,224.92)(12,375.08, 13,224.92)

Final Answer:

The 99% confidence interval for the true mean resale value of the sedan is (12,375.08, 13,224.92).


Would you like further clarification or help with this process?

Here are some related questions to consider:

  1. What is the difference between a t-distribution and a z-distribution?
  2. How does increasing the confidence level affect the width of the confidence interval?
  3. Why is the sample standard deviation used here instead of the population standard deviation?
  4. How would the interval change if the sample size were larger?
  5. What role does the critical value (tt^*) play in determining the interval?

Tip: When dealing with small sample sizes, always check whether the population is approximately normal, as the t-distribution assumes this.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
t-Distribution

Formulas

Confidence Interval Formula: x̄ ± t* × (s / √n)
Standard Error Formula: SE = s / √n
Margin of Error: ME = t* × SE

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem
t-Distribution Properties

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate (Statistics or AP Statistics)