Math Problem Statement

(b) Compute the probability of a type II error for the test of part (a) when 𝜇1 − 𝜇2 = 1.

Solution

To compute the probability of a type II error (denoted as β\beta) for the given test when μ1μ2=1\mu_1 - \mu_2 = 1, follow these steps:

Step 1: Define the Given Data

  • From part (a):
    • xˉ=18.18\bar{x} = 18.18 kgf/cm²
    • m=42m = 42
    • σ1=1.6\sigma_1 = 1.6
    • yˉ=16.89\bar{y} = 16.89
    • n=30n = 30
    • σ2=1.3\sigma_2 = 1.3
    • α=0.01\alpha = 0.01
    • Calculated standard error (SE) = 0.3436

Step 2: Determine the Critical Value for the Test

The critical value zαz_{\alpha} for a one-tailed test at α=0.01\alpha = 0.01 can be found using standard normal distribution tables or statistical software. For α=0.01\alpha = 0.01, the critical value zαz_{\alpha} is: zα2.33z_{\alpha} \approx 2.33

Step 3: Calculate the Non-Central Parameter

When μ1μ2=1\mu_1 - \mu_2 = 1, the non-central parameter δ\delta is: δ=(μ1μ2)0SE\delta = \frac{(\mu_1 - \mu_2) - 0}{SE} δ=10.3436\delta = \frac{1}{0.3436} δ2.91\delta \approx 2.91

Step 4: Find the Corresponding zz-value for Type II Error

We need to find the probability that the test statistic falls below the critical value when μ1μ2=1\mu_1 - \mu_2 = 1. This requires adjusting the critical value by the non-central parameter:

zβ=zαδz_{\beta} = z_{\alpha} - \delta zβ=2.332.91z_{\beta} = 2.33 - 2.91 zβ0.58z_{\beta} \approx -0.58

Step 5: Calculate the Probability of a Type II Error

The probability of a type II error β\beta is the probability that the zz-value is less than zβz_{\beta} when the true difference is μ1μ2=1\mu_1 - \mu_2 = 1:

Using standard normal distribution tables or statistical software, we find: β=P(Z<0.58)\beta = P(Z < -0.58) β0.2810\beta \approx 0.2810

Conclusion

The probability of a type II error β\beta when μ1μ2=1\mu_1 - \mu_2 = 1 is approximately 0.2810.

Do you want details or have any questions?

Here are 5 numbered questions for you to ask:

  1. How do you interpret the result of the type II error probability?
  2. Can you explain the concept of power in hypothesis testing?
  3. How would you calculate the probability of a type II error if the standard deviations were unknown?
  4. What is the relationship between type I and type II errors?
  5. Can you demonstrate a power analysis for this hypothesis test?

Tip: The type II error probability (β\beta) decreases as the sample size increases, as larger samples provide more precise estimates of the population parameters.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Hypothesis Testing
Type II Error
Normal Distribution

Formulas

Standard Error (SE)
Non-central Parameter Calculation
Probability of Type II Error

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced College