Math Problem Statement

Find the coefficient of determination and interpret the result. The table shows the total square footage​ (in billions) of retailing space at shopping centers and their sales​ (in billions of​ dollars) for 10 years. The equation of the regression line is ModifyingAbove y with caret equals 562.102 x minus 1960.998. Complete parts a and b.

Total Square​ Footage, x 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.4 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 6.2 ​Sales, y 850.7 939.3 980.4 1073.5 1102.8 1218.7 1287.1 1329.4 1447.5 1525.9

Solution

Solution

To find the coefficient of determination (R2R^2), we first need to calculate the correlation coefficient (rr), which is related to R2R^2 by:

R2=r2R^2 = r^2

Steps to Solve:

  1. Regression Equation and Relationship: The regression equation is given as: y^=562.102x1960.998\hat{y} = 562.102x - 1960.998 This predicts sales (yy) based on the total square footage (xx).

  2. Data Summary:

    • xx: Total Square Footage (in billions)
    • yy: Sales (in billions of dollars)

    We have: x=[5.1,5.2,5.3,5.2,5.4,5.8,5.8,5.9,5.9,6.2]x = [5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.2, 5.4, 5.8, 5.8, 5.9, 5.9, 6.2] y=[850.7,939.3,980.4,1073.5,1102.8,1218.7,1287.1,1329.4,1447.5,1525.9]y = [850.7, 939.3, 980.4, 1073.5, 1102.8, 1218.7, 1287.1, 1329.4, 1447.5, 1525.9]

  3. Calculate rr: Using the formula for correlation coefficient: [ r = \frac{n \sum(xy) - \sum x \sum y}{\sqrt{\left[ n \sum x^2 - (\sum x)^2 \right] \left[ n \sum y^2 - (\sum y)^2 \right]}} ] Here:

    • n=10n = 10 (number of data points)
    • x\sum x: Sum of xx
    • y\sum y: Sum of yy
    • xy\sum xy: Sum of products of xx and yy
    • x2\sum x^2: Sum of squares of xx
    • y2\sum y^2: Sum of squares of yy
  4. Interpret R2R^2: R2R^2 indicates the proportion of variability in yy (sales) that is explained by xx (square footage). A higher R2R^2 implies a stronger relationship.


Calculation:

Let me compute the required values. numpy as np

Data points

x = np.array([5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.2, 5.4, 5.8, 5.8, 5.9, 5.9, 6.2]) # Square footage y = np.array([850.7, 939.3, 980.4, 1073.5, 1102.8, 1218.7, 1287.1, 1329.4, 1447.5, 1525.9]) # Sales

Number of data points

n = len(x)

Summations

sum_x = np.sum(x) sum_y = np.sum(y) sum_xy = np.sum(x * y) sum_x2 = np.sum(x ** 2) sum_y2 = np.sum(y ** 2)

Correlation coefficient (r)

numerator = n * sum_xy - sum_x * sum_y denominator = np.sqrt((n * sum_x2 - sum_x ** 2) * (n * sum_y2 - sum_y ** 2)) r = numerator / denominator

Coefficient of determination (R^2)

R2 = r ** 2

Results

r, R2### Results:

  1. Correlation Coefficient (rr): 0.9610.961
  2. Coefficient of Determination (R2R^2): 0.9240.924 (rounded to three decimal places)

Interpretation:

The coefficient of determination (R2=0.924R^2 = 0.924) implies that 92.4% of the variability in sales (yy) is explained by the total square footage (xx) of retailing space. This indicates a very strong positive linear relationship between square footage and sales.


Would you like further clarification or additional calculations?

Related Questions:

  1. How is the regression line used for prediction in this context?
  2. What would be the predicted sales for a total square footage of 6.06.0 billion?
  3. How would you calculate residuals for the given data points?
  4. What does the correlation coefficient (rr) indicate in practical terms?
  5. How could outliers affect the R2R^2 value?

Tip:

When interpreting R2R^2, remember it does not imply causation—just the proportion of variability explained by the regression model.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Regression Analysis
Correlation
Coefficient of Determination

Formulas

ŷ = mx + b (Regression Line Equation)
r = (nΣxy - ΣxΣy) / √[(nΣx² - (Σx)²)(nΣy² - (Σy)²)] (Correlation Coefficient)
R² = r² (Coefficient of Determination)

Theorems

Least Squares Method

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12