Math Problem Statement

The piston diameter of a certain hand pump is

0.70.7

inch. The manager determines that the diameters are normally​ distributed, with a mean of

0.70.7

inch and a standard deviation of

0.0030.003

inch. After recalibrating the production​ machine, the manager randomly selects

2222

pistons and determines that the standard deviation is

0.00260.0026

inch. Is there significant evidence for the manager to conclude that the standard deviation has decreased at the

alpha equals 0.01α=0.01

level of​ significance?

Question content area bottom

Part 1

What are the correct hypotheses for this​ test?

The null hypothesis is

H Subscript 0​:

sigmaσ

equals=

0.003.

The alternative hypothesis is

H Subscript 1​:

sigmaσ

less than<

0.003.

Part 2

Calculate the value of the test statistic.

chi Subscript Superscript 2χ2 equals=15.77315.773

​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Part 3

Use technology to determine the​ P-value for the test statistic.

The​ P-value is

. 218.218.

​(Round to three decimal places as​ needed.)

Part 4

What is the correct conclusion at the

alpha equals 0.01α=0.01

level of​ significance?

Since the​ P-value is

▼   greater

less

than the level of​ significance,

▼   reject

do not reject

the null hypothesis. There

▼   is

is not

sufficient evidence to conclude that the standard deviation has decreased at the

0.010.01

level of significance.

Solution

Step-by-Step Solution


Part 1: Formulate the Hypotheses

The hypotheses for this test are as follows:

  • Null hypothesis (H0H_0): σ=0.003\sigma = 0.003 (The standard deviation has not decreased.)
  • Alternative hypothesis (H1H_1): σ<0.003\sigma < 0.003 (The standard deviation has decreased.)

These hypotheses represent a left-tailed test since we are testing for a decrease in the standard deviation.


Part 2: Test Statistic

The test statistic for the Chi-Square test of standard deviation is calculated using the formula:

χ2=(n1)s2σ02\chi^2 = \frac{(n - 1) \cdot s^2}{\sigma_0^2}

Where:

  • n=22n = 22 (sample size)
  • s=0.0026s = 0.0026 (sample standard deviation)
  • σ0=0.003\sigma_0 = 0.003 (population standard deviation under H0H_0)

Substitute the values:

χ2=(221)(0.0026)2(0.003)2\chi^2 = \frac{(22 - 1) \cdot (0.0026)^2}{(0.003)^2}

χ2=210.000006760.000009\chi^2 = \frac{21 \cdot 0.00000676}{0.000009}

χ215.773\chi^2 \approx 15.773

Thus, the value of the test statistic is:

χ2=15.773\chi^2 = 15.773


Part 3: PP-value Calculation

To find the PP-value, we use the Chi-Square distribution with df=n1=21df = n - 1 = 21. The PP-value corresponds to the left-tailed probability for χ2=15.773\chi^2 = 15.773.

Using technology or statistical tables, we find:

P-value0.218P\text{-value} \approx 0.218


Part 4: Conclusion

At the α=0.01\alpha = 0.01 level of significance:

  • The PP-value (0.2180.218) is greater than the significance level (0.010.01).
  • Therefore, we do not reject the null hypothesis.

Conclusion: There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that the standard deviation has decreased at the α=0.01\alpha = 0.01 level of significance.


Summary of Results:

  1. Hypotheses:

    • H0:σ=0.003H_0: \sigma = 0.003
    • H1:σ<0.003H_1: \sigma < 0.003
  2. Test statistic: χ2=15.773\chi^2 = 15.773

  3. PP-value: 0.2180.218

  4. Conclusion: Do not reject H0H_0. No significant evidence to conclude a decrease in the standard deviation.


Questions for Further Understanding:

  1. Why is a Chi-Square test appropriate for testing variance or standard deviation?
  2. What does the PP-value represent in the context of this test?
  3. How would the conclusion change if the significance level were 0.050.05 instead of 0.010.01?
  4. What are the assumptions of the Chi-Square test, and are they satisfied in this scenario?
  5. How would the analysis change if the alternative hypothesis were σ0.003\sigma \neq 0.003 (two-tailed test)?

Tip:

When interpreting PP-values, always compare them to the significance level (α\alpha) carefully to make an accurate decision about the null hypothesis.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Standard Deviation
Chi-Square Distribution

Formulas

Chi-Square Test Statistic: χ² = (n - 1) * s² / σ₀²

Theorems

Chi-Square Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics or Advanced High School