Math Problem Statement

A recently collected data set on coin weights gives weights of pennies minted after 1983. Here are the statistics for those weights sample size equals 37 simple mean equals 2.49910 g simple standard deviation equals 0.01648 g. Use a 0.05 significance level to test a claim that the sample is from a population of pennies with weights having a standard deviation greater than 0.01000 g.

Solution

To test the claim that the standard deviation of the population of pennies is greater than 0.01000 g, we can use a chi-square test for the population variance (which is related to the standard deviation).

Step-by-step process:

  1. Define the null and alternative hypotheses:

    • H0H_0 (null hypothesis): The population standard deviation is less than or equal to 0.01000 g. H0:σ0.01000H_0: \sigma \leq 0.01000
    • H1H_1 (alternative hypothesis): The population standard deviation is greater than 0.01000 g. H1:σ>0.01000H_1: \sigma > 0.01000
  2. Test statistic: The chi-square test statistic for variance is given by: χ2=(n1)s2σ02\chi^2 = \frac{(n - 1) \cdot s^2}{\sigma_0^2} Where:

    • nn is the sample size.
    • ss is the sample standard deviation.
    • σ0\sigma_0 is the hypothesized population standard deviation (0.01000 g).

    Plugging in the values:

    • n=37n = 37
    • s=0.01648gs = 0.01648 \, \text{g}
    • σ0=0.01000g\sigma_0 = 0.01000 \, \text{g}

    First, calculate s2s^2 and σ02\sigma_0^2: s2=(0.01648)2=0.000271635andσ02=(0.01000)2=0.00010000s^2 = (0.01648)^2 = 0.000271635 \quad \text{and} \quad \sigma_0^2 = (0.01000)^2 = 0.00010000

    Now, compute the chi-square statistic: χ2=(371)0.0002716350.00010000=360.0002716350.00010000=97.7886\chi^2 = \frac{(37 - 1) \cdot 0.000271635}{0.00010000} = \frac{36 \cdot 0.000271635}{0.00010000} = 97.7886

  3. Degrees of freedom (df): The degrees of freedom for the chi-square test are n1n - 1. So: df=371=36df = 37 - 1 = 36

  4. Find the critical value: At a significance level of α=0.05\alpha = 0.05 for a right-tailed test with 36 degrees of freedom, we need to find the critical value from the chi-square distribution table.

    The critical value for χ0.05,362\chi^2_{0.05, 36} is approximately 50.998 (based on chi-square distribution tables).

  5. Decision rule:

    • If χ2\chi^2 (calculated) > χcritical2\chi^2_{\text{critical}}, reject the null hypothesis.
    • If χ2\chi^2 (calculated) ≤ χcritical2\chi^2_{\text{critical}}, fail to reject the null hypothesis.
  6. Conclusion: Since the calculated χ2=97.7886\chi^2 = 97.7886 is greater than the critical value 50.99850.998, we reject the null hypothesis.

Final conclusion:

There is sufficient evidence at the 0.05 significance level to support the claim that the population standard deviation is greater than 0.01000 g.


Do you want more details or have any questions?
Here are 5 related questions to expand on this concept:

  1. How would the hypothesis test change if the sample size were larger?
  2. What is the effect of choosing a different significance level (e.g., 0.01) on the test result?
  3. How can we compute a confidence interval for the population variance?
  4. Why is the chi-square distribution used for variance testing?
  5. What are the assumptions behind using the chi-square test for variance?

Tip: The chi-square test for variance is sensitive to non-normal data, so it's important to verify the normality assumption of your sample!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Hypothesis Testing
Statistical Inference
Chi-Square Test for Variance

Formulas

Chi-Square Test Statistic: χ² = (n - 1) * s² / σ₀²
Variance: s² = standard deviation²
Degrees of Freedom: df = n - 1

Theorems

Chi-Square Distribution
Hypothesis Testing Framework

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 11-12