Math Problem Statement

Delivery times for shipments from a central warehouse have a mean of 1.73 days and a standard deviation of 1.73 days. A random sample of 108 shipments are selected and their shipping times are observed. Use the Central Limit Theorem to find the probability that the mean shipping time for the 108 shipments is less than 1.53 days. Round the answer to four decimal places.

Solution

To solve this problem using the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), we need to follow these steps:

Step 1: Identify the key values

  • Population mean (μ\mu) = 1.73 days
  • Population standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 1.73 days
  • Sample size (nn) = 108
  • Sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}) = 1.53 days (the value we are comparing to)

Step 2: Calculate the standard error of the mean (SE)

The standard error (SE) is the standard deviation of the sample mean distribution. It is calculated as:

SE=σnSE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}

Substituting the given values:

SE=1.731081.7310.39230.1665SE = \frac{1.73}{\sqrt{108}} \approx \frac{1.73}{10.3923} \approx 0.1665

Step 3: Find the z-score

The z-score represents how many standard errors the sample mean is from the population mean. It is calculated using the formula:

z=xˉμSEz = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{SE}

Substituting the values:

z=1.531.730.16650.200.16651.2012z = \frac{1.53 - 1.73}{0.1665} \approx \frac{-0.20}{0.1665} \approx -1.2012

Step 4: Find the probability

To find the probability corresponding to a z-score of 1.2012-1.2012, we look up the z-score in the standard normal distribution table (or use a calculator). The probability of a z-score less than 1.2012-1.2012 is approximately 0.1156.

Thus, the probability that the mean shipping time for the 108 shipments is less than 1.53 days is approximately 0.1156.

Final Answer:

P(xˉ<1.53)0.1156P(\bar{x} < 1.53) \approx 0.1156

Would you like more details or further clarification?

Relative Questions:

  1. What is the Central Limit Theorem and how does it apply to sample means?
  2. How do you interpret the standard error of the mean in practical terms?
  3. What is the significance of the z-score in a normal distribution?
  4. How would the probability change if the sample size were smaller?
  5. What is the relationship between sample size and standard error?

Tip:

The Central Limit Theorem allows us to approximate the distribution of the sample mean as normal, even if the original population distribution is not normal, provided the sample size is large enough (usually n30n \geq 30).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Probability
Central Limit Theorem
Normal Distribution

Formulas

Standard error (SE) = σ / √n
Z-score = (x̄ - μ) / SE

Theorems

Central Limit Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate Statistics or Advanced High School