Math Problem Statement
Suppose Canadian home-owners owe an average of $185,000 on their mortgages. Assume that mortgage debt is normally distributed in Canada with a standard deviation of $85,000.
Standard Normal Distribution Table
a. Albertans are reported to owe $243,600 in mortgage debt, much higher than the Canadian average. What is the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt that exceeds $243,600?
Round to four decimal places if necessary
b. What is the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt below $97,000?
Round to four decimal places if necessary
c. Determine the minimum mortgage debt owing by the 24% of Canadians with the largest mortgages.
Round to the nearest dollar
Solution
Let's solve these problems step by step.
We are given the following information:
- The mean mortgage debt,
- The standard deviation of mortgage debt,
We will use the standard normal distribution (Z-scores) to solve the problems.
(a) What is the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt that exceeds ?
To find this, we will:
-
Convert the debt amount into a Z-score using the formula: where is the given debt amount, is the mean, and is the standard deviation.
-
Use the standard normal distribution table to find the corresponding probability.
For :
Using the Z-table (or a calculator), the cumulative probability for is approximately .
Therefore, the probability of exceeding this debt amount is:
Thus, the probability is approximately 0.2453.
(b) What is the probability of randomly selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt below ?
Again, we will:
-
Calculate the Z-score for :
-
Use the Z-table to find the cumulative probability for .
The cumulative probability for is approximately .
Thus, the probability of selecting a Canadian with a mortgage debt below is approximately 0.1506.
(c) Determine the minimum mortgage debt owing by the 24% of Canadians with the largest mortgages.
To find this:
-
We need to find the Z-score corresponding to the top 24% (i.e., the 76th percentile). From the Z-table, the Z-score for is approximately 0.7063.
-
Convert this Z-score back into the mortgage debt amount using the formula: where and .
Thus, the minimum mortgage debt owing by the top 24% of Canadians is approximately $245,036.
Summary of answers:
- (a) Probability of mortgage debt exceeding $243,600: 0.2453
- (b) Probability of mortgage debt below $97,000: 0.1506
- (c) Minimum mortgage debt for the top 24%: $245,036
Would you like further explanation or clarification on any of these steps?
Here are 5 related questions to further explore:
- How does increasing the standard deviation affect the probabilities in parts (a) and (b)?
- What is the probability of selecting a Canadian with mortgage debt between $97,000 and $243,600?
- What mortgage debt amount represents the 90th percentile of Canadians?
- If Albertans had a standard deviation of $90,000 instead, how would that affect the probability in part (a)?
- How would the minimum mortgage debt for the top 24% change if the average mortgage debt were $200,000?
Tip: When working with normal distributions, always convert the values into Z-scores to use the standard normal distribution table.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Normal Distribution
Z-Scores
Probability
Formulas
Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(Z ≤ z) = cumulative probability from Z-table
Theorems
Standard Normal Distribution Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 11-12
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