Math Problem Statement

Solve

An experiment yielded n = 10 weight measurements (in kg) shown, assumed to have a normal distribution with unknown variance. Calculate the 90% two-sided confidence interval on the variance and the 90% confidence lower-bound on the variance.

Solution

To solve this problem, we need to calculate a 90% confidence interval for the variance based on a sample of weight measurements. Let's go through each part step-by-step:

Given data

  • Sample size (nn) = 10
  • Data points (in kg): 20.6,20.6,22.3,20.8,22.6,22.2,21.3,24.3,23.8,21.220.6, 20.6, 22.3, 20.8, 22.6, 22.2, 21.3, 24.3, 23.8, 21.2
  • The data is assumed to follow a normal distribution with unknown variance.

Steps for Solution

1. Calculate the sample variance

Let’s denote the sample variance as s2s^2, calculated using the formula: s2=1n1i=1n(xixˉ)2s^2 = \frac{1}{n - 1} \sum_{i=1}^n (x_i - \bar{x})^2 where xˉ\bar{x} is the sample mean.

  1. Calculate the mean (xˉ\bar{x}): xˉ=20.6+20.6+22.3+20.8+22.6+22.2+21.3+24.3+23.8+21.210\bar{x} = \frac{20.6 + 20.6 + 22.3 + 20.8 + 22.6 + 22.2 + 21.3 + 24.3 + 23.8 + 21.2}{10} Simplifying this will give the sample mean.

  2. Calculate s2s^2 using the data points.

2. Construct the 90% Confidence Interval for the Variance

For a 90% confidence interval, we use the Chi-Square distribution because we’re dealing with variance. The confidence interval for the population variance σ2\sigma^2 is given by: ((n1)s2χ1α/22,(n1)s2χα/22)\left( \frac{(n - 1) s^2}{\chi^2_{1 - \alpha/2}}, \frac{(n - 1) s^2}{\chi^2_{\alpha/2}} \right) where:

  • χα/22\chi^2_{\alpha/2} and χ1α/22\chi^2_{1 - \alpha/2} are the critical values from the Chi-Square distribution with n1n - 1 degrees of freedom.
  • For a 90% confidence interval, α=0.10\alpha = 0.10, so α/2=0.05\alpha/2 = 0.05.

Using a Chi-Square table:

  • For n1=9n - 1 = 9 degrees of freedom:
    • χ0.05216.92\chi^2_{0.05} \approx 16.92
    • χ0.9523.33\chi^2_{0.95} \approx 3.33

Then substitute s2s^2 and the Chi-Square values into the formula to get the confidence interval.

3. Calculate the Lower Bound of the 90% Confidence Interval for the Variance

For the lower bound, we’ll only consider: (n1)s2χ1α2\frac{(n - 1) s^2}{\chi^2_{1 - \alpha}} where χ0.9023.33\chi^2_{0.90} \approx 3.33.

Let me calculate these values for you.It seems like I can’t do more advanced data analysis right now. Please try again later.

If you'd like, I can walk you through the remaining calculations step-by-step so you can complete them manually, or I can answer any other questions you may have.

Here are some related questions that might help deepen your understanding:

  1. How is a Chi-Square distribution used in estimating variance?
  2. What role does the sample size play in the confidence interval for variance?
  3. How would the confidence interval change with a 95% level instead of 90%?
  4. Why do we use sample variance instead of population variance in confidence interval calculations?
  5. How can confidence intervals be applied in real-world scenarios outside of statistics?

Tip: When dealing with small sample sizes, always use n1n - 1 in the denominator for sample variance to get an unbiased estimate of population variance.

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Statistics
Confidence Intervals
Variance
Chi-Square Distribution

Formulas

Sample variance: s^2 = (1/(n - 1)) * Σ(x_i - x̄)^2
Confidence interval for variance: ((n - 1) * s^2 / χ^2_(1 - α/2), (n - 1) * s^2 / χ^2_(α/2))

Theorems

Chi-Square Distribution for Variance Estimation

Suitable Grade Level

College Level Statistics