Math Problem Statement

Compute the probability (rounded to 3 decimal places) of the following events related to rolling a standard 4-sided die (with faces labeled 1,2,3, and 4:)

You roll the die 10 times and get exactly four 22s

Solution

To solve this problem, we need to compute the probability of rolling exactly four 2s when rolling a standard 4-sided die 10 times.

The number of ways to choose exactly four 2s in 10 rolls is given by the binomial coefficient, denoted as (nk)\binom{n}{k}, where nn is the total number of rolls (10) and kk is the number of times you want to roll a 2 (4).

The probability of rolling a 2 on a single roll of a 4-sided die is 14\frac{1}{4}, and the probability of not rolling a 2 is 34\frac{3}{4}.

The probability of exactly four 2s in 10 rolls is given by the binomial distribution formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)×pk×(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \times p^k \times (1-p)^{n-k}

where:

  • n=10n = 10 (number of trials),
  • k=4k = 4 (number of successful outcomes),
  • p=14p = \frac{1}{4} (probability of rolling a 2),
  • 1p=341-p = \frac{3}{4} (probability of not rolling a 2).

Let's compute this step by step.

(104)=10!4!(104)!=10×9×8×74×3×2×1=210\binom{10}{4} = \frac{10!}{4!(10-4)!} = \frac{10 \times 9 \times 8 \times 7}{4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1} = 210

P(X=4)=210×(14)4×(34)6P(X = 4) = 210 \times \left(\frac{1}{4}\right)^4 \times \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{6}

P(X=4)=210×(1256)×(7294096)P(X = 4) = 210 \times \left(\frac{1}{256}\right) \times \left(\frac{729}{4096}\right)

P(X=4)=210×7291048576P(X = 4) = 210 \times \frac{729}{1048576}

P(X=4)0.146P(X = 4) \approx 0.146

Thus, the probability of getting exactly four 2s in 10 rolls of a standard 4-sided die is approximately 0.146.

Would you like further details on this calculation, or do you have any other questions?

Here are five related questions:

  1. What is the probability of getting exactly three 2s in 10 rolls of a 4-sided die?
  2. How would the probability change if you wanted to roll exactly four 3s instead?
  3. What is the probability of getting at least one 2 in 10 rolls?
  4. How does the probability change if you roll the die 12 times instead of 10 times?
  5. What is the probability of getting exactly four 2s in 8 rolls of a 4-sided die?

Tip: When working with binomial probabilities, it's useful to familiarize yourself with the binomial distribution and the use of combinations (binomial coefficients).

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability Theory
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

Binomial coefficient
Binomial distribution formula

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12