Math Problem Statement
The proportion of a certain community that has a certain medical condition is known to be .
A random sample of members of that community is taken, where "random" sample means that each selection in the sample is independent of the others.
Find the probability that the random sample taken has at least one member having that certain medical condition.
Probability =
Solution
To find the probability that a random sample has at least one member with the certain medical condition, we can use the concept of complementary probability.
Step 1: Define the problem
Let's denote:
- as the proportion of the community that has the medical condition.
- as the number of members in the sample.
We want to find the probability that at least one member in the sample has the medical condition.
Step 2: Calculate the probability of the complementary event
The complementary event is that none of the members in the sample have the medical condition.
The probability that a single member does not have the condition is .
Since the sample is random and each selection is independent, the probability that none of the members have the condition is:
Step 3: Calculate the desired probability
The probability that at least one member in the sample has the condition is the complement of the probability that none of the members have it. Thus:
Final Answer:
This expression gives you the probability that at least one member in the sample has the medical condition.
Would you like further details on this problem, or have any questions? Here are some related questions:
- How would you calculate the probability if the sample size is known?
- What happens to the probability as increases?
- How does a change in affect the probability of finding at least one member with the condition?
- Can you explain the concept of complementary events with another example?
- What is the expected number of people in the sample who have the condition?
Tip: Complementary probability is a powerful tool, especially when it's easier to calculate the probability of the event not happening.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Probability Theory
Complementary Events
Random Sampling
Formulas
Probability of complementary events: P(A') = 1 - P(A)
Theorems
-
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 10-12
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