Math Problem Statement

using r program answer this question An expert witness for a paternity lawsuit testifies that the length of a pregnancy is normally distributed with a mean of 280 days and a standard deviation of 13 days. An alleged father was out of the country from 245 to 308 days before the birth of the child, so the pregnancy would have been less than 245 days or more than 308 days long if he was the father. The birth was uncomplicated, and the child needed no medical intervention. What is the probability that he was NOT the father? Calculate the z-scores first, and then use those to calculate the probability. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

Solution

To answer the question using R programming, we need to follow these steps:

  1. Calculate the z-scores for 245 days and 308 days using the given mean of 280 days and standard deviation of 13 days.
  2. Find the probability associated with those z-scores from the normal distribution table.
  3. Subtract those probabilities from 1 to determine the likelihood that the pregnancy falls outside the given range, which would imply that the alleged father is not the father.

Here's the process in R:

r
# Given values mean_pregnancy <- 280 # Mean of pregnancy in days sd_pregnancy <- 13 # Standard deviation of pregnancy in days lower_limit <- 245 # The lower limit (days the father was out of the country) upper_limit <- 308 # The upper limit (days the father was out of the country) # Calculate the z-scores z_lower <- (lower_limit - mean_pregnancy) / sd_pregnancy z_upper <- (upper_limit - mean_pregnancy) / sd_pregnancy # Calculate the cumulative probabilities for the z-scores p_lower <- pnorm(z_lower) p_upper <- pnorm(z_upper) # Calculate the probability that the pregnancy length is less than 245 or more than 308 days prob_not_father <- p_lower + (1 - p_upper) # Print the result round(prob_not_father, 4)

Explanation:

  • We use the formula for z-score:
    z=xμσz = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} Where xx is the value (245 and 308), μ\mu is the mean (280), and σ\sigma is the standard deviation (13).
  • pnorm() calculates the cumulative probability up to a given z-score.
  • We sum the probabilities for both tails of the distribution (less than 245 days or more than 308 days).

This will provide the probability that the alleged father is not the father, rounded to four decimal places.

You can copy and paste this code into an R environment to get the answer. Let me know if you need further clarification!

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Normal Distribution
Z-Scores

Formulas

z = (x - μ) / σ
Cumulative probability using pnorm()

Theorems

Normal Distribution Theorem
68-95-99.7 Rule (Empirical Rule)

Suitable Grade Level

Undergraduate/Advanced High School