Math Problem Statement

Suppose that a brand of lightbulb lasts on average 2735 hours with a standard deviation of 113 hours. Assume the life of the lightbulb is normally distributed. Calculate the probability that a particular bulb will last from 2540 to 2743 hours?

P(2540 < X < 2743) =

Enter your answer as a number accurate to 4 decimal places.

Solution

To solve this problem, we'll use the properties of the normal distribution.

Given:

  • Mean (μ\mu) = 2735 hours
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 113 hours
  • We want to find P(2540<X<2743)P(2540 < X < 2743).

Step 1: Convert the raw scores to Z-scores

The Z-score formula is:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

First, calculate the Z-scores for 2540 and 2743.

For X=2540X = 2540:

Z2540=25402735113=1951131.7257Z_{2540} = \frac{2540 - 2735}{113} = \frac{-195}{113} \approx -1.7257

For X=2743X = 2743:

Z2743=27432735113=81130.0708Z_{2743} = \frac{2743 - 2735}{113} = \frac{8}{113} \approx 0.0708

Step 2: Find the probabilities corresponding to these Z-scores

Using the standard normal distribution table or a calculator:

  • The probability corresponding to Z=1.7257Z = -1.7257 is approximately 0.0423.
  • The probability corresponding to Z=0.0708Z = 0.0708 is approximately 0.5282.

Step 3: Calculate the probability P(2540<X<2743)P(2540 < X < 2743)

P(2540<X<2743)=P(Z2743)P(Z2540)0.52820.0423=0.4859P(2540 < X < 2743) = P(Z_{2743}) - P(Z_{2540}) \approx 0.5282 - 0.0423 = 0.4859

So, the probability is:

0.4859\boxed{0.4859}

Would you like further details or have any questions?


  1. What is the probability that a bulb lasts more than 3000 hours?
  2. How does changing the mean affect the probability distribution?
  3. How is the standard deviation interpreted in the context of lightbulb lifespan?
  4. What does the Z-score represent in a normal distribution?
  5. How would you find the probability for a different interval of hours?

Tip: The Z-score helps standardize data points within a normal distribution, making it easier to calculate probabilities.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-score

Formulas

Z-score formula: Z = (X - μ) / σ

Theorems

Properties of Normal Distribution

Suitable Grade Level

Advanced High School