Math Problem Statement

The current population of a threatened animal species is

1.31.3

​million, but it is declining with a​ half-life of

2020

years. How many animals will be left in

3030

​years?

Solution

To determine the population of the threatened animal species after 30 years, we can use the formula for exponential decay, which is analogous to exponential growth but for a declining population:

P(t)=P0×(12)tTP(t) = P_0 \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{\frac{t}{T}}

where:

  • P(t)P(t) is the population after time tt.
  • P0P_0 is the initial population.
  • tt is the time elapsed.
  • TT is the half-life.

Given:

  • P0=1.3P_0 = 1.3 million
  • t=30t = 30 years
  • T=20T = 20 years

Substituting the values into the formula:

P(30)=1.3×(12)3020=1.3×(12)1.5P(30) = 1.3 \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{\frac{30}{20}} = 1.3 \times \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{1.5}

Now, calculate (12)1.5\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{1.5}:

(12)1.5=121.5=123=180.3536\left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^{1.5} = \frac{1}{2^{1.5}} = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2^3}} = \frac{1}{\sqrt{8}} \approx 0.3536

Thus,

P(30)1.3×0.35360.4597 millionP(30) \approx 1.3 \times 0.3536 \approx 0.4597 \text{ million}

So, after 30 years, approximately 0.46 million animals (or 460,000 animals) will be left.

Would you like more details or have any questions? Here are some related questions:

  1. What will the population be after 50 years?
  2. How does changing the half-life affect the population decay rate?
  3. If the initial population was 2 million instead of 1.3 million, what would be the population after 30 years?
  4. How does exponential decay differ from exponential growth in real-world scenarios?
  5. Can exponential decay apply to non-population scenarios, such as radioactive decay?

Tip: In exponential decay, the population never truly reaches zero but continues to halve at regular intervals based on the half-life.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Exponential Decay

Formulas

Exponential decay formula P(t) = P_0 * (1/2)^(t/T)

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Grades 9-12