Math Problem Statement

What percentage of pregnancies last beyond 248 days? Given: Mean = 262 days, Standard deviation = 17 days, P(X > 248 days) = ?

Solution

We are given a normal distribution of pregnancy lengths with:

  • Mean (μ\mu) = 262 days
  • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 17 days

The problem asks for the percentage of pregnancies that last beyond 248 days. We are looking for:

P(X>248)P(X > 248)

Step 1: Find the Z-score

The Z-score is calculated using the formula:

Z=XμσZ = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}

Substitute the given values: Z=24826217=14170.8235Z = \frac{248 - 262}{17} = \frac{-14}{17} \approx -0.8235

Step 2: Find the probability

Using the Z-score table or a normal distribution calculator, find the cumulative probability for Z=0.8235Z = -0.8235.

The cumulative probability for Z=0.8235Z = -0.8235 is approximately 0.21. This represents the percentage of pregnancies lasting less than 248 days.

To find the percentage of pregnancies lasting beyond 248 days: P(X>248)=1P(X<248)=10.21=0.79P(X > 248) = 1 - P(X < 248) = 1 - 0.21 = 0.79

Step 3: Convert to percentage

The percentage is 0.79×100=79%0.79 \times 100 = 79\%.

Thus, 79% of pregnancies last beyond 248 days.


Would you like any further details or clarifications?

Here are some follow-up questions:

  1. What is the importance of using the Z-score in a normal distribution?
  2. How can you interpret the result of 79% in the context of this problem?
  3. How would the result change if the standard deviation increased?
  4. Can we use the same method for non-normally distributed data? Why or why not?
  5. How would you calculate the probability for a range of days, e.g., between 248 and 280 days?

Tip: Z-scores help standardize values in a normal distribution, allowing easy lookup of probabilities from standard tables.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Normal Distribution
Z-scores
Probability

Formulas

Z = (X - μ) / σ
P(X > X_value) = 1 - P(X < X_value)

Theorems

Properties of Normal Distribution
Empirical Rule

Suitable Grade Level

College/University level (Statistics)