Math Problem Statement
Consider the following monthly revenue data for an up-and-coming cyber security company.
Sales DataMonthRevenue (Thousands of Dollars)MonthRevenue (Thousands of Dollars)
11
326326
99
789789
22
539539
1010
817817
33
527527
1111
829829
44
579579
1212
845845
55
635635
1313
857857
66
683683
1414
851851
77
699699
1515
855855
88
707707
The summary output from a regression analysis of the data is also provided.
Regression StatisticsMultiple R
0.9382049670.938204967
R Square
0.8802285590.880228559
Adjusted R Square
0.8710153710.871015371
Standard Error
56.426467656.4264676
Observations
1515
ANOVAdfdfSSSSMSMSFFRegression
11
304,194.432143304,194.432143
304,194.432143304,194.432143
95.5400652895.54006528
Residual
1313
41,391.30119041,391.301190
3183.9462453183.946245
Total
1414
345,585.733333345,585.733333
CoefficientsStandard Errortt StatP-valueIntercept
438.84761905438.84761905
30.6597818830.65978188
14.3134618814.31346188
2.45722E-092.45722E-09
Month
32.9607142932.96071429
3.372126423.37212642
9.7744598469.774459846
2.34292E-072.34292E-07
Step 2 of 3 :
What is the mean square error for the model shown in the output? Round to four decimal places, if necessary.
Solution
The Mean Square Error (MSE) is a measure of the average squared difference between the observed actual outcomes and the outcomes predicted by the model. It is calculated by dividing the sum of squares for the residuals (SS Residual) by the degrees of freedom for the residuals (df Residual).
Formula:
From the provided output:
- SS Residual (also known as Residual Sum of Squares) = 41,391.301190
- df Residual = 13
Calculation:
Since the value is already calculated and rounded in the output, the Mean Square Error (MSE) for the model is:
This value represents the average squared difference between the observed revenue values and those predicted by the regression model.
Would you like more details or have any other questions?
Next Steps:
- How does MSE impact the accuracy of the model?
- What is the difference between MSE and RMSE?
- How can we reduce the MSE in a regression model?
- What is the significance of the coefficients in the regression output?
- How does the R-squared value relate to MSE?
- Can high MSE values indicate overfitting?
- What are some common causes of high MSE?
- How does MSE compare with other error metrics like MAE?
Tip: The lower the MSE, the better the model fits the data. However, always consider other metrics like R-squared and residual plots to get a full picture of model performance.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Regression Analysis
Mean Square Error (MSE)
Sum of Squares
Degrees of Freedom
Formulas
MSE = SS Residual / df Residual
Theorems
-
Suitable Grade Level
Advanced College
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