Math Problem Statement

The rate of economic growth per capita in France from 1996 to 2000 was 1.9% per year, while in Korea over the same period it was 4.2%. Per capita real GDP was $28,900 in France in 2003, and $12,700 in Korea. Assume the growth rates for each country remain the same.

Compute the doubling time for France’s per capita real GDP. Compute the doubling time for Korea’s per capita real GDP. What will France’s per capita real GDP be in 2045? What will Korea’s per capita real GDP be in 2045?

Solution

To solve these problems, we will use the Rule of 70 to compute the doubling times and the formula for compound interest to determine the future GDP per capita.

Doubling Time

The Rule of 70 is a way to estimate the number of years it takes for a quantity to double at a constant growth rate. It is calculated as:

Doubling Time=70Growth Rate (%)\text{Doubling Time} = \frac{70}{\text{Growth Rate (\%)}}

  1. Doubling Time for France’s per capita real GDP: Doubling Time=701.936.84 years\text{Doubling Time} = \frac{70}{1.9} \approx 36.84 \text{ years}

  2. Doubling Time for Korea’s per capita real GDP: Doubling Time=704.216.67 years\text{Doubling Time} = \frac{70}{4.2} \approx 16.67 \text{ years}

Future GDP per capita in 2045

To calculate the future GDP per capita, we use the compound interest formula:

P(t)=P0(1+r100)tP(t) = P_0 \left(1 + \frac{r}{100}\right)^t

where:

  • P(t)P(t) is the future GDP per capita
  • P0P_0 is the current GDP per capita
  • rr is the annual growth rate
  • tt is the number of years
  1. France’s per capita real GDP in 2045:

From 2003 to 2045 is 42 years. Therefore, t=42t = 42, P0=28,900P_0 = 28,900, and r=1.9r = 1.9.

P(2045)=28,900(1+1.9100)42P(2045) = 28,900 \left(1 + \frac{1.9}{100}\right)^{42} P(2045)=28,900(1.019)42P(2045) = 28,900 \left(1.019\right)^{42}

Calculating the exponent: 1.019422.0761.019^{42} \approx 2.076

Therefore, P(2045)28,900×2.07660,022.84P(2045) \approx 28,900 \times 2.076 \approx 60,022.84

  1. Korea’s per capita real GDP in 2045:

From 2003 to 2045 is 42 years. Therefore, t=42t = 42, P0=12,700P_0 = 12,700, and r=4.2r = 4.2.

P(2045)=12,700(1+4.2100)42P(2045) = 12,700 \left(1 + \frac{4.2}{100}\right)^{42} P(2045)=12,700(1.042)42P(2045) = 12,700 \left(1.042\right)^{42}

Calculating the exponent: 1.042425.111.042^{42} \approx 5.11

Therefore, P(2045)12,700×5.1164,897P(2045) \approx 12,700 \times 5.11 \approx 64,897

Summary

  • Doubling Time for France: 36.84 years
  • Doubling Time for Korea: 16.67 years
  • France’s per capita real GDP in 2045: $60,022.84
  • **Korea’s

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Compound Interest
Exponential Growth
Rule of 70

Formulas

Compound interest formula
Rule of 70

Theorems

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Suitable Grade Level

Advanced High School