Math Problem Statement
In the United States, voters who are neither Democrat nor Republican are called Independent. It is believed that 12% of voters are Independent. A survey asked 29 people to identify themselves as Democrat, Republican, or Independent.
A. What is the probability that none of the people are Independent?
Probability =
B. What is the probability that fewer than 6 are Independent?
Probability =
C. What is the probability that more than 2 people are Independent?
Probability =
Solution
This problem involves binomial probability because each person surveyed either identifies as Independent (success) or not (failure), with a fixed probability of success (12%).
Given:
- The probability that a person is Independent: .
- The number of people surveyed: .
- The number of successes (people identifying as Independent) is denoted by .
The binomial distribution formula is:
where is the binomial coefficient, is the number of successes, is the probability of success, and is the total number of trials.
Let's solve each part:
A. Probability that none of the people are Independent
This corresponds to .
Calculating :
B. Probability that fewer than 6 are Independent
This corresponds to , which is the sum of probabilities for .
Each of these terms can be computed using the binomial formula. For example:
Summing up these probabilities gives the total:
C. Probability that more than 2 people are Independent
This corresponds to , which is the complement of .
First, we calculate :
Using the binomial probabilities for each term:
Summing these:
Thus:
Summary of Answers:
A. Probability that none of the people are Independent:
B. Probability that fewer than 6 are Independent:
C. Probability that more than 2 people are Independent:
Would you like more details on any part of the solution?
Here are 5 questions related to this problem:
- How does the binomial distribution change if the probability of success increases?
- What is the cumulative distribution function in binomial probability?
- How would the results change if the survey size was increased to 50 people?
- How can the normal approximation be applied to binomial distributions?
- What is the probability of exactly 6 Independents in the same scenario?
Tip: In binomial distributions, probabilities of "at least" or "more than" are often easier to compute using complementary probabilities.
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Math Problem Analysis
Mathematical Concepts
Binomial Probability
Probability Distribution
Complementary Probability
Formulas
P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k)
P(X > 2) = 1 - P(X ≤ 2)
Theorems
Binomial Theorem
Suitable Grade Level
Grades 9-12
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