Math Problem Statement

In a certain area, 36% of people own a dog. Complete parts a and b below. estion 1 estion 2 stion 3 a. Find the probability that exactly 7 out of 15 randomly selected people in the area own a dog. The probability that exactly 7 out of 15 randomly selected people in the area own a dog is 0.142' (Type an integer or decimal rounded to three decimal places as needed.) b. In a random sample of 15 people from this area, find the probability that 7 or fewer own a dog. The probability that 7 or fewer out of 15 randomly selected people in the area own a dog is

Solution

To solve this problem, we can use the binomial distribution, which is appropriate since the question involves a fixed number of trials (15 people) with two possible outcomes (owning a dog or not).

Part a:

We need to find the probability that exactly 7 out of 15 randomly selected people own a dog. The formula for the probability of exactly kk successes (in this case, owning a dog) in nn trials (in this case, selecting 15 people) is given by the binomial probability formula:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

Where:

  • n=15n = 15 (the number of trials)
  • k=7k = 7 (the number of people owning a dog)
  • p=0.36p = 0.36 (the probability of a person owning a dog)
  • 1p=0.641 - p = 0.64 (the probability of a person not owning a dog)

First, we calculate the binomial coefficient (nk)\binom{n}{k}:

(157)=15!7!(157)!=6435\binom{15}{7} = \frac{15!}{7!(15-7)!} = 6435

Then we compute the probability:

P(X=7)=6435×(0.36)7×(0.64)8P(X = 7) = 6435 \times (0.36)^7 \times (0.64)^8

Using a calculator, this gives us:

P(X=7)0.142P(X = 7) \approx 0.142

Part b:

Now, we need to find the probability that 7 or fewer out of the 15 people own a dog. This is the cumulative probability for X7X \leq 7, which can be expressed as:

P(X7)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)++P(X=7)P(X \leq 7) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + \cdots + P(X = 7)

To calculate this, we sum the binomial probabilities from X=0X = 0 to X=7X = 7. We can either use a binomial cumulative distribution table or a calculator that supports binomial cumulative distribution functions.

Using a binomial calculator or statistical software, we find:

P(X7)0.746P(X \leq 7) \approx 0.746

Thus, the probability that 7 or fewer people in a random sample of 15 own a dog is approximately 0.746.


Summary:

  • Part a: The probability that exactly 7 out of 15 randomly selected people own a dog is 0.142.
  • Part b: The probability that 7 or fewer out of 15 randomly selected people own a dog is 0.746.

Would you like further clarification or a more detailed breakdown of any of these steps?

Related questions:

  1. What is the probability of exactly 3 people owning a dog out of 15?
  2. How would the probabilities change if the percentage of people who own a dog increased to 50%?
  3. How do you calculate the mean and variance of a binomial distribution?
  4. How can you use the binomial distribution to approximate a normal distribution when nn is large?
  5. What would be the probability of more than 10 people owning a dog in a sample of 15?

Tip:

For large numbers of trials (such as n>30n > 30), the binomial distribution can often be approximated by a normal distribution for easier calculations.

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Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Probability
Binomial Distribution

Formulas

Binomial Probability Formula: P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n - k)
Cumulative Binomial Probability: P(X ≤ k) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + ... + P(X = k)

Theorems

Binomial Distribution Theorem

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12