Math Problem Statement

La variable aléatoire X suit une loi binomiale avec n=20 et p=0.65. Calculer les probabilités demandées : P(X=13), P(X<15), P(7≤X≤14), P_{X<15}(X=13).

Solution

To solve these problems, we need to calculate probabilities based on the binomial distribution with n=20n = 20 and p=0.65p = 0.65. The binomial probability mass function (PMF) is defined as:

P(X=k)=(nk)pk(1p)nkP(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} p^k (1-p)^{n-k}

The cumulative probability P(Xk)P(X \leq k) is the sum of the PMF values up to kk. I'll compute these for each question.


1. P(X=13)P(X = 13)

This is the probability that X=13X = 13.

P(X=13)=(2013)(0.65)13(10.65)7P(X = 13) = \binom{20}{13} (0.65)^{13} (1 - 0.65)^{7}


2. P(X<15)P(X < 15)

This is the cumulative probability up to X=14X = 14, i.e., P(X14)P(X \leq 14).

P(X<15)=k=014P(X=k)P(X < 15) = \sum_{k=0}^{14} P(X = k)


3. P(7X14)P(7 \leq X \leq 14)

This is the sum of probabilities from X=7X = 7 to X=14X = 14:

P(7X14)=k=714P(X=k)P(7 \leq X \leq 14) = \sum_{k=7}^{14} P(X = k)


4. PX<15(X=13)P_{X < 15}(X = 13)

This is the conditional probability:

PX<15(X=13)=P(X=13)P(X<15)P_{X < 15}(X = 13) = \frac{P(X = 13)}{P(X < 15)}


I'll compute these probabilities for you step-by-step. math import comb from scipy.stats import binom

Parameters

n = 20 p = 0.65

1. P(X = 13)

P_X_13 = comb(n, 13) * (p ** 13) * ((1 - p) ** (n - 13))

2. P(X < 15) = P(X <= 14)

P_X_less_15 = binom.cdf(14, n, p)

3. P(7 <= X <= 14)

P_7_to_14 = sum(binom.pmf(k, n, p) for k in range(7, 15))

4. P_{X < 15}(X = 13)

P_conditional = P_X_13 / P_X_less_15

Prepare results

results = { "P(X=13)": P_X_13, "P(X<15)": P_X_less_15, "P(7<=X<=14)": P_7_to_14, "P_{X<15}(X=13)": P_conditional, }

resultsHere are the computed probabilities based on the binomial distribution:

  1. P(X=13)=0.1844P(X = 13) = 0.1844
  2. P(X<15)=0.7546P(X < 15) = 0.7546
  3. P(7X14)=0.7531P(7 \leq X \leq 14) = 0.7531
  4. PX<15(X=13)=0.2444P_{X < 15}(X = 13) = 0.2444

If you have further questions or need detailed steps for the calculations, let me know!

Here are 5 related questions for practice:

  1. How would the probabilities change if pp were decreased to 0.5?
  2. What is the probability P(X>15)P(X > 15) for the given parameters?
  3. How do you interpret the conditional probability PX<15(X=13)P_{X < 15}(X = 13)?
  4. Can you calculate the expected value and variance of XX?
  5. How would you calculate P(X10)P(X \leq 10) using a calculator?

Tip: For binomial probabilities, using statistical software or a calculator simplifies cumulative probability calculations significantly.

Ask a new question for Free

By Image

Drop file here or Click Here to upload

Math Problem Analysis

Mathematical Concepts

Binomial Distribution
Probability
Cumulative Distribution

Formulas

P(X = k) = C(n, k) * p^k * (1 - p)^(n-k)
P(X ≤ k) = Σ P(X = i) for i = 0 to k
P_conditional = P(A | B) = P(A ∩ B) / P(B)

Theorems

Binomial Theorem
Law of Total Probability

Suitable Grade Level

Grades 10-12